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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.27+1.56vs Predicted
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2Santa Clara University2.36+2.18vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii3.04-0.05vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego1.78+1.22vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara2.05-0.26vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California1.52-0.34vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles1.83-1.82vs Predicted
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8California Poly Maritime Academy1.58-2.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.56Stanford University3.270.3%1st Place
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4.18Santa Clara University2.360.1%1st Place
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2.95University of Hawaii3.040.2%1st Place
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5.22University of California at San Diego1.780.1%1st Place
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4.74University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.1%1st Place
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5.66University of Southern California1.520.1%1st Place
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5.18University of California at Los Angeles1.830.1%1st Place
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5.51California Poly Maritime Academy1.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Mace | 32.0% | 27.1% | 16.3% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Lindsay Grove | 11.7% | 11.9% | 17.5% | 15.1% | 14.8% | 12.9% | 10.4% | 5.7% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 24.4% | 22.5% | 19.4% | 14.9% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Alicia Bernhard | 6.1% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 14.1% | 14.9% | 19.1% | 16.5% |
| Ginger Luckey | 8.0% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 14.3% | 14.1% | 16.6% | 14.1% | 10.4% |
| Kendall Sanson | 5.6% | 4.8% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 15.2% | 16.1% | 27.5% |
| Emelia Pelliccio | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 12.1% | 13.2% | 15.3% | 17.8% | 16.9% |
| Jessica Bernhard | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 11.4% | 14.1% | 15.5% | 18.2% | 21.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.