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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College1.08+8.98vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College1.95+4.12vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University1.31+5.85vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.82+2.68vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.35+3.08vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45+1.15vs Predicted
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7Fairfield University0.73+3.51vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont0.71+2.43vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College1.18+0.54vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University1.24-1.55vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.01-1.21vs Predicted
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12Maine Maritime Academy0.27+0.95vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University0.97-1.42vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.15+0.55vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire0.68-3.57vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.59-8.14vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.08-7.23vs Predicted
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18Tufts University1.18-9.22vs Predicted
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19University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.42-1.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.98Bowdoin College1.084.8%1st Place
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6.12Dartmouth College1.9511.6%1st Place
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8.85Salve Regina University1.315.9%1st Place
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6.68Brown University1.8210.0%1st Place
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8.08Tufts University1.357.2%1st Place
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7.15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.459.8%1st Place
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10.51Fairfield University0.733.9%1st Place
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10.43University of Vermont0.713.8%1st Place
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9.54Dartmouth College1.185.1%1st Place
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8.45Roger Williams University1.246.5%1st Place
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9.79Boston University1.014.9%1st Place
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12.95Maine Maritime Academy0.272.1%1st Place
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11.58Salve Regina University0.972.5%1st Place
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14.55Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.151.1%1st Place
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11.43University of New Hampshire0.682.9%1st Place
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7.86Northeastern University1.597.2%1st Place
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9.77Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.085.1%1st Place
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8.78Tufts University1.185.4%1st Place
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17.49University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.420.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Chance | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 11.6% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nils Tullberg | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Thomas Styron | 10.0% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Wallace | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 1.5% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 1.2% |
| Nicholas Hurley | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| William Bailey | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Nathan Selian | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 0.6% |
| Nalu Ho | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 13.8% | 14.9% | 6.2% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 2.7% |
| John Divelbiss | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 24.1% | 14.6% |
| Grace Cannon | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 2.8% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Emily Scherer | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 1.2% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Andy Giaya | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 5.5% | 11.8% | 65.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.