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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at San Diego1.78+4.15vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.27+0.64vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii3.04-0.03vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.05+0.78vs Predicted
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5Santa Clara University2.36-0.85vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy1.58-0.43vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California1.52-1.28vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles1.83-2.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.15University of California at San Diego1.780.1%1st Place
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2.64Stanford University3.270.3%1st Place
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2.97University of Hawaii3.040.2%1st Place
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4.78University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.1%1st Place
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4.15Santa Clara University2.360.1%1st Place
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5.57California Poly Maritime Academy1.580.1%1st Place
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5.72University of Southern California1.520.1%1st Place
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5.03University of California at Los Angeles1.830.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alicia Bernhard | 6.8% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 14.5% | 15.7% | 18.5% | 15.0% |
| Sarah Mace | 30.1% | 26.2% | 16.0% | 13.4% | 8.1% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 24.7% | 22.0% | 19.3% | 14.6% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 2.4% | 1.3% |
| Ginger Luckey | 8.1% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 16.0% | 16.2% | 13.7% | 11.2% |
| Lindsay Grove | 11.1% | 14.7% | 16.6% | 14.4% | 14.8% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 5.5% |
| Jessica Bernhard | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 16.4% | 16.4% | 25.1% |
| Kendall Sanson | 5.3% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 15.0% | 18.8% | 27.8% |
| Emelia Pelliccio | 7.8% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 16.2% | 14.6% | 17.1% | 13.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.