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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.07+2.06vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.06-0.10vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California0.78+2.17vs Predicted
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4Santa Clara University1.42+0.16vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara0.82+0.12vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego1.38-1.81vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles0.83-1.87vs Predicted
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8California Poly Maritime Academy-0.83-0.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.06University of Hawaii2.070.2%1st Place
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1.9Stanford University3.060.5%1st Place
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5.17University of Southern California0.780.1%1st Place
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4.16Santa Clara University1.420.1%1st Place
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5.12University of California at Santa Barbara0.820.1%1st Place
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4.19University of California at San Diego1.380.1%1st Place
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5.13University of California at Los Angeles0.830.0%1st Place
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7.26California Poly Maritime Academy-0.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hanne Nagatani | 18.2% | 25.1% | 21.4% | 15.4% | 11.3% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 0.3% |
| Yuki Yoshiyasu | 48.2% | 27.7% | 13.6% | 7.1% | 3.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Gebelein | 5.0% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 15.9% | 18.0% | 23.8% | 8.6% |
| Francesca Cappellini | 9.1% | 12.1% | 16.7% | 18.9% | 16.1% | 15.6% | 8.7% | 2.8% |
| Lauren Dykman | 5.2% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 13.7% | 16.7% | 20.3% | 20.8% | 7.6% |
| Anna Hagberg | 8.4% | 12.3% | 17.4% | 17.2% | 17.3% | 15.7% | 9.1% | 2.6% |
| Nora Brackbill | 4.9% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 14.1% | 15.1% | 19.1% | 21.3% | 8.7% |
| Eileen Welch | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 13.6% | 69.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.