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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.06+0.87vs Predicted
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2Santa Clara University1.42+2.13vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego1.38+1.23vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii2.07-0.89vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara0.82+0.12vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California0.78-0.84vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles0.83-1.86vs Predicted
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8California Poly Maritime Academy-0.83-0.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.87Stanford University3.060.5%1st Place
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4.13Santa Clara University1.420.1%1st Place
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4.23University of California at San Diego1.380.1%1st Place
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3.11University of Hawaii2.070.2%1st Place
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5.12University of California at Santa Barbara0.820.0%1st Place
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5.16University of Southern California0.780.0%1st Place
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5.14University of California at Los Angeles0.830.1%1st Place
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7.24California Poly Maritime Academy-0.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yuki Yoshiyasu | 49.6% | 27.1% | 14.3% | 6.1% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Cappellini | 9.3% | 12.8% | 15.6% | 19.5% | 18.0% | 13.3% | 8.7% | 2.8% |
| Anna Hagberg | 8.5% | 13.2% | 16.4% | 15.4% | 17.5% | 16.4% | 9.6% | 3.0% |
| Hanne Nagatani | 17.1% | 23.4% | 21.5% | 18.7% | 11.1% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Lauren Dykman | 4.6% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 12.9% | 16.6% | 20.3% | 20.8% | 7.7% |
| Olivia Gebelein | 4.8% | 6.5% | 10.3% | 13.5% | 16.1% | 17.1% | 23.3% | 8.4% |
| Nora Brackbill | 5.5% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 15.3% | 20.3% | 21.6% | 8.7% |
| Eileen Welch | 0.6% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 6.7% | 13.4% | 68.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.