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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.06+0.87vs Predicted
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2Santa Clara University1.42+2.14vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii2.07+0.07vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego1.38+0.23vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara0.82+0.14vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California0.78-0.85vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles0.83-1.85vs Predicted
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8California Poly Maritime Academy-0.83-0.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.87Stanford University3.060.5%1st Place
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4.14Santa Clara University1.420.1%1st Place
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3.07University of Hawaii2.070.2%1st Place
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4.23University of California at San Diego1.380.1%1st Place
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5.14University of California at Santa Barbara0.820.1%1st Place
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5.15University of Southern California0.780.1%1st Place
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5.15University of California at Los Angeles0.830.0%1st Place
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7.25California Poly Maritime Academy-0.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yuki Yoshiyasu | 49.1% | 27.8% | 13.8% | 6.5% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Cappellini | 9.2% | 12.4% | 16.8% | 19.0% | 16.5% | 14.5% | 8.9% | 2.7% |
| Hanne Nagatani | 17.9% | 24.1% | 21.3% | 17.0% | 12.0% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Anna Hagberg | 8.3% | 13.2% | 15.8% | 16.4% | 18.2% | 14.7% | 10.9% | 2.5% |
| Lauren Dykman | 5.0% | 6.0% | 10.5% | 13.3% | 15.4% | 20.7% | 21.5% | 7.6% |
| Olivia Gebelein | 5.3% | 6.4% | 9.9% | 12.6% | 17.2% | 18.3% | 21.7% | 8.6% |
| Nora Brackbill | 4.7% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 15.0% | 19.1% | 21.6% | 9.1% |
| Eileen Welch | 0.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 6.9% | 13.1% | 69.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.