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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.06+0.86vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego1.38+2.21vs Predicted
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3Santa Clara University1.42+1.13vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii2.07-0.88vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara0.82+0.12vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California0.78-0.83vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles0.83-1.86vs Predicted
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8California Poly Maritime Academy-0.83-0.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.86Stanford University3.060.5%1st Place
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4.21University of California at San Diego1.380.1%1st Place
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4.13Santa Clara University1.420.1%1st Place
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3.12University of Hawaii2.070.2%1st Place
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5.12University of California at Santa Barbara0.820.0%1st Place
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5.17University of Southern California0.780.0%1st Place
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5.14University of California at Los Angeles0.830.1%1st Place
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7.25California Poly Maritime Academy-0.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yuki Yoshiyasu | 49.6% | 27.3% | 14.2% | 6.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Anna Hagberg | 9.1% | 12.0% | 15.3% | 18.4% | 18.9% | 13.4% | 10.0% | 2.9% |
| Francesca Cappellini | 8.7% | 13.7% | 17.4% | 16.4% | 17.0% | 15.6% | 8.7% | 2.5% |
| Hanne Nagatani | 17.0% | 23.7% | 21.1% | 18.9% | 10.7% | 5.8% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Lauren Dykman | 4.6% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 13.0% | 16.4% | 20.3% | 21.0% | 7.6% |
| Olivia Gebelein | 4.9% | 6.4% | 10.0% | 13.7% | 16.4% | 16.8% | 23.2% | 8.6% |
| Nora Brackbill | 5.5% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 15.4% | 20.6% | 21.3% | 8.8% |
| Eileen Welch | 0.6% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 7.0% | 13.2% | 69.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.