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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at San Diego1.38+3.17vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.06-0.10vs Predicted
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3Santa Clara University1.42+1.15vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California0.78+1.22vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles0.83+0.14vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii2.07-2.89vs Predicted
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7California Poly Maritime Academy-0.83+0.26vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara0.82-2.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.17University of California at San Diego1.380.1%1st Place
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1.9Stanford University3.060.5%1st Place
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4.15Santa Clara University1.420.1%1st Place
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5.22University of Southern California0.780.0%1st Place
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5.14University of California at Los Angeles0.830.0%1st Place
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3.11University of Hawaii2.070.2%1st Place
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7.26California Poly Maritime Academy-0.830.0%1st Place
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5.04University of California at Santa Barbara0.820.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anna Hagberg | 9.2% | 12.0% | 17.6% | 16.8% | 17.8% | 14.0% | 9.8% | 2.8% |
| Yuki Yoshiyasu | 48.6% | 27.0% | 14.0% | 7.1% | 2.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Cappellini | 10.0% | 12.5% | 16.3% | 17.5% | 16.2% | 15.5% | 9.2% | 2.8% |
| Olivia Gebelein | 4.9% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 16.5% | 18.4% | 23.8% | 8.8% |
| Nora Brackbill | 4.2% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 13.9% | 14.7% | 18.7% | 22.8% | 8.0% |
| Hanne Nagatani | 16.9% | 26.0% | 19.4% | 17.1% | 11.5% | 6.3% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Eileen Welch | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 6.4% | 12.8% | 70.0% |
| Lauren Dykman | 5.1% | 6.1% | 11.8% | 13.5% | 17.0% | 20.3% | 19.2% | 7.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.