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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Santa Clara University1.42+3.06vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.07+1.15vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.06-1.12vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego1.38+0.21vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara0.82+0.14vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California0.78-0.84vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles0.83-1.86vs Predicted
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8California Poly Maritime Academy-0.83-0.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.06Santa Clara University1.420.1%1st Place
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3.15University of Hawaii2.070.2%1st Place
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1.88Stanford University3.060.5%1st Place
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4.21University of California at San Diego1.380.1%1st Place
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5.14University of California at Santa Barbara0.820.1%1st Place
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5.16University of Southern California0.780.1%1st Place
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5.14University of California at Los Angeles0.830.1%1st Place
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7.26California Poly Maritime Academy-0.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Francesca Cappellini | 9.7% | 12.9% | 18.1% | 18.1% | 15.9% | 14.3% | 9.0% | 2.0% |
| Hanne Nagatani | 17.1% | 23.1% | 22.0% | 16.1% | 11.9% | 7.0% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Yuki Yoshiyasu | 48.4% | 29.1% | 13.3% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Anna Hagberg | 8.6% | 13.7% | 15.4% | 16.3% | 18.8% | 13.5% | 11.2% | 2.5% |
| Lauren Dykman | 5.2% | 5.7% | 9.3% | 15.4% | 15.5% | 19.7% | 21.6% | 7.6% |
| Olivia Gebelein | 5.1% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 13.6% | 16.5% | 18.6% | 21.2% | 9.1% |
| Nora Brackbill | 5.3% | 7.0% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 15.4% | 19.0% | 21.5% | 9.1% |
| Eileen Welch | 0.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 6.9% | 12.9% | 69.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.