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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Penn State Behrend0.41+1.64vs Predicted
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2University of Virginia0.02+1.23vs Predicted
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3Drexel University0.47-0.34vs Predicted
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4University of Delaware-0.51+0.02vs Predicted
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5U. S. Military Academy-1.20-0.05vs Predicted
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6Princeton University-2.24+0.43vs Predicted
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7American University-2.96+0.18vs Predicted
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8Unknown School-1.21-3.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.64Penn State Behrend0.4128.0%1st Place
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3.23University of Virginia0.0219.1%1st Place
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2.66Drexel University0.4727.0%1st Place
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4.02University of Delaware-0.519.8%1st Place
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4.95U. S. Military Academy-1.206.5%1st Place
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6.43Princeton University-2.242.0%1st Place
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7.18American University-2.961.2%1st Place
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4.88Unknown School-1.216.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Anthony Farrar | 28.0% | 24.2% | 20.4% | 14.6% | 9.5% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
Connor Lothrop | 19.1% | 18.8% | 19.1% | 18.8% | 13.5% | 8.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
Iain Shand | 27.0% | 23.6% | 22.1% | 15.2% | 8.3% | 3.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
David Berson | 9.8% | 13.9% | 15.4% | 18.4% | 19.4% | 15.0% | 7.2% | 0.9% |
Henry Jensen | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 13.1% | 18.0% | 24.5% | 17.5% | 4.5% |
Nikhil De | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 15.8% | 36.7% | 26.9% |
Sophia Symonowicz | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 20.2% | 62.0% |
Clare Leeper | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 18.9% | 23.3% | 15.8% | 5.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.