Race 6B

boston

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Joseph Kelleher 19.7% 17.1% 16.6% 14.1% 10.5% 9.3% 5.2% 3.8% 2.2% 1.1% 0.4% 0.0%
Tripp Cashel 12.7% 13.5% 11.6% 15.0% 11.5% 10.1% 9.4% 7.3% 5.5% 2.3% 0.9% 0.2%
Lyle Fielding 11.3% 8.4% 11.2% 11.2% 11.0% 9.6% 12.3% 11.4% 8.0% 3.7% 1.5% 0.4%
John Work 6.6% 8.9% 9.5% 9.8% 12.4% 10.5% 10.5% 9.8% 9.6% 8.1% 3.4% 0.9%
Kenneth Layton 14.8% 15.0% 14.8% 11.6% 12.3% 9.7% 7.6% 5.9% 4.1% 3.6% 0.5% 0.1%
Tommy Holmberg 8.2% 9.7% 8.1% 9.3% 8.7% 12.4% 11.4% 11.9% 8.3% 6.0% 4.9% 1.1%
Sam Millham 5.0% 6.3% 6.2% 6.3% 8.0% 7.9% 9.2% 11.4% 13.4% 13.4% 8.8% 4.1%
Steven Drapcho 12.7% 10.7% 10.6% 10.2% 10.4% 10.5% 11.8% 9.4% 6.6% 4.1% 2.3% 0.7%
Nathan Stevens 3.2% 4.0% 4.4% 5.0% 7.0% 8.3% 9.8% 10.1% 14.6% 15.0% 12.5% 6.1%
Marshall McLean 3.5% 2.8% 4.1% 4.0% 4.4% 6.0% 6.4% 9.9% 13.2% 16.1% 18.6% 11.0%
Meghan Breslin-Jewer 1.4% 1.5% 1.1% 0.8% 2.2% 2.9% 3.7% 5.0% 5.6% 11.6% 24.0% 40.2%
Santiago Enrique 0.9% 2.1% 1.8% 2.7% 1.6% 2.8% 2.7% 4.1% 8.9% 15.0% 22.2% 35.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.