Race 2A

laker-showdown

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Andrew Michels 26.0% 22.4% 17.5% 12.7% 9.5% 5.7% 3.5% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Ryan Dodge 9.7% 10.2% 11.9% 12.8% 11.2% 12.3% 11.6% 10.5% 7.0% 2.6% 0.1%
Julia Janssen 7.1% 8.2% 9.0% 9.3% 11.2% 12.0% 13.2% 15.7% 9.8% 3.5% 0.9%
Caroline Henry 10.3% 11.9% 9.8% 11.3% 11.7% 13.0% 11.9% 11.2% 6.5% 2.2% 0.1%
Cecilia Dietsch 11.7% 13.1% 13.2% 13.0% 13.4% 10.9% 10.3% 8.3% 4.8% 1.3% 0.1%
Marco Constantini 12.8% 11.0% 11.7% 14.1% 11.5% 12.1% 11.6% 8.3% 5.2% 1.5% 0.2%
John McCalmont 11.8% 12.2% 13.2% 11.2% 13.5% 12.5% 11.0% 9.3% 4.5% 0.6% 0.1%
Carly Irwin 7.4% 7.3% 7.9% 9.2% 10.1% 12.3% 14.0% 14.9% 11.2% 4.9% 0.8%
Shea Smith 1.8% 1.8% 2.9% 3.1% 3.2% 4.0% 6.3% 9.2% 22.8% 30.1% 14.7%
Alex Schlotterer 1.0% 1.6% 2.1% 2.1% 3.5% 3.4% 5.1% 7.4% 19.8% 34.4% 19.8%
Piper Luke 0.4% 0.1% 0.7% 1.1% 1.4% 1.7% 1.7% 2.9% 8.0% 18.9% 63.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.