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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.07+2.08vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.06-0.10vs Predicted
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3Santa Clara University1.42+1.12vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California0.78+1.22vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy-0.83+2.27vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego1.38-1.80vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles0.83-1.83vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara0.82-2.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.08University of Hawaii2.070.2%1st Place
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1.9Stanford University3.060.5%1st Place
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4.12Santa Clara University1.420.1%1st Place
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5.22University of Southern California0.780.0%1st Place
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7.27California Poly Maritime Academy-0.830.0%1st Place
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4.2University of California at San Diego1.380.1%1st Place
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5.17University of California at Los Angeles0.830.0%1st Place
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5.04University of California at Santa Barbara0.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hanne Nagatani | 18.1% | 24.8% | 20.4% | 16.4% | 11.1% | 6.7% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Yuki Yoshiyasu | 49.1% | 26.7% | 14.2% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Cappellini | 9.2% | 12.4% | 16.7% | 19.0% | 17.4% | 14.1% | 9.0% | 2.2% |
| Olivia Gebelein | 4.4% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 14.8% | 19.8% | 23.1% | 9.0% |
| Eileen Welch | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 13.4% | 69.8% |
| Anna Hagberg | 8.8% | 11.3% | 18.5% | 15.9% | 18.8% | 14.4% | 9.6% | 2.7% |
| Nora Brackbill | 4.7% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 13.4% | 13.9% | 19.6% | 23.1% | 8.4% |
| Lauren Dykman | 4.9% | 7.1% | 10.4% | 14.4% | 17.5% | 18.5% | 19.7% | 7.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.