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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.07+2.05vs Predicted
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2Santa Clara University1.42+2.13vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara0.82+2.13vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.06-2.12vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego1.38-0.78vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California0.78-0.82vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles0.83-1.87vs Predicted
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8California Poly Maritime Academy-0.83-0.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.05University of Hawaii2.070.2%1st Place
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4.13Santa Clara University1.420.1%1st Place
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5.13University of California at Santa Barbara0.820.1%1st Place
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1.88Stanford University3.060.5%1st Place
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4.22University of California at San Diego1.380.1%1st Place
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5.18University of Southern California0.780.0%1st Place
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5.13University of California at Los Angeles0.830.1%1st Place
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7.27California Poly Maritime Academy-0.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hanne Nagatani | 19.0% | 23.3% | 20.7% | 18.1% | 10.8% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Cappellini | 9.4% | 11.9% | 15.8% | 21.3% | 15.6% | 14.9% | 8.6% | 2.5% |
| Lauren Dykman | 5.4% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 15.9% | 20.4% | 21.3% | 8.4% |
| Yuki Yoshiyasu | 47.6% | 29.0% | 15.6% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Anna Hagberg | 8.5% | 11.1% | 17.5% | 17.3% | 17.3% | 16.9% | 9.7% | 1.7% |
| Olivia Gebelein | 4.0% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 12.9% | 16.8% | 18.2% | 22.3% | 8.8% |
| Nora Brackbill | 5.5% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 17.4% | 18.0% | 21.9% | 8.8% |
| Eileen Welch | 0.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 13.1% | 69.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.