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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.06+0.88vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego1.38+2.22vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii2.07+0.07vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles0.83+1.12vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California0.78+0.19vs Predicted
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6Santa Clara University1.42-1.91vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara0.82-1.83vs Predicted
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8California Poly Maritime Academy-0.83-0.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.88Stanford University3.060.5%1st Place
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4.22University of California at San Diego1.380.1%1st Place
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3.07University of Hawaii2.070.2%1st Place
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5.12University of California at Los Angeles0.830.1%1st Place
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5.19University of Southern California0.780.0%1st Place
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4.09Santa Clara University1.420.1%1st Place
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5.17University of California at Santa Barbara0.820.0%1st Place
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7.26California Poly Maritime Academy-0.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yuki Yoshiyasu | 48.4% | 29.0% | 13.4% | 6.2% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Anna Hagberg | 9.1% | 11.4% | 16.9% | 16.9% | 17.4% | 16.1% | 9.6% | 2.6% |
| Hanne Nagatani | 18.2% | 23.6% | 21.3% | 16.5% | 12.8% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Nora Brackbill | 5.0% | 7.1% | 10.3% | 13.3% | 15.5% | 19.1% | 21.1% | 8.6% |
| Olivia Gebelein | 4.5% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 13.0% | 15.5% | 20.5% | 21.6% | 8.6% |
| Francesca Cappellini | 9.6% | 12.7% | 17.8% | 17.6% | 17.4% | 13.5% | 9.0% | 2.4% |
| Lauren Dykman | 4.7% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 13.9% | 15.0% | 18.6% | 22.9% | 8.5% |
| Eileen Welch | 0.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 13.5% | 69.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.