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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.07+2.07vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.06-0.12vs Predicted
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3Santa Clara University1.42+1.14vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy-0.83+3.28vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego1.38-0.77vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles0.83-0.88vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara0.82-1.81vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California0.78-2.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.07University of Hawaii2.070.2%1st Place
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1.88Stanford University3.060.5%1st Place
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4.14Santa Clara University1.420.1%1st Place
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7.28California Poly Maritime Academy-0.830.0%1st Place
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4.23University of California at San Diego1.380.1%1st Place
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5.12University of California at Los Angeles0.830.1%1st Place
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5.19University of California at Santa Barbara0.820.0%1st Place
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5.1University of Southern California0.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hanne Nagatani | 18.2% | 25.0% | 21.1% | 15.4% | 10.8% | 6.8% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Yuki Yoshiyasu | 49.7% | 26.4% | 13.7% | 7.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Cappellini | 9.0% | 13.1% | 16.5% | 17.9% | 17.1% | 15.1% | 8.6% | 2.7% |
| Eileen Welch | 0.7% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 14.7% | 68.8% |
| Anna Hagberg | 7.9% | 12.4% | 16.7% | 17.9% | 16.9% | 15.9% | 10.0% | 2.3% |
| Nora Brackbill | 5.2% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 14.0% | 15.3% | 18.5% | 20.7% | 9.2% |
| Lauren Dykman | 4.9% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 15.5% | 18.6% | 24.1% | 8.4% |
| Olivia Gebelein | 4.4% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 19.0% | 18.7% | 19.4% | 8.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.