← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Hawaii2.07+2.05vs Predicted
-
2Stanford University3.06-0.10vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Los Angeles0.83+2.09vs Predicted
-
4Santa Clara University1.42+0.16vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Santa Barbara0.82+0.12vs Predicted
-
6University of Southern California0.78-0.84vs Predicted
-
7University of California at San Diego1.38-2.74vs Predicted
-
8California Poly Maritime Academy-0.83-0.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.05University of Hawaii2.070.2%1st Place
-
1.9Stanford University3.060.5%1st Place
-
5.09University of California at Los Angeles0.830.1%1st Place
-
4.16Santa Clara University1.420.1%1st Place
-
5.12University of California at Santa Barbara0.820.1%1st Place
-
5.16University of Southern California0.780.1%1st Place
-
4.26University of California at San Diego1.380.1%1st Place
-
7.25California Poly Maritime Academy-0.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hanne Nagatani | 18.2% | 25.0% | 21.1% | 16.3% | 10.7% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| Yuki Yoshiyasu | 48.1% | 27.9% | 13.8% | 6.8% | 3.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nora Brackbill | 5.3% | 7.3% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 14.0% | 20.9% | 21.9% | 7.3% |
| Francesca Cappellini | 9.0% | 11.9% | 17.5% | 17.6% | 18.1% | 14.1% | 9.1% | 2.7% |
| Lauren Dykman | 5.0% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 13.1% | 17.4% | 19.3% | 21.7% | 7.3% |
| Olivia Gebelein | 5.3% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 16.2% | 19.4% | 20.4% | 9.8% |
| Anna Hagberg | 8.2% | 12.8% | 14.9% | 18.6% | 16.9% | 14.6% | 11.0% | 3.0% |
| Eileen Welch | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 13.3% | 69.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.