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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.06+0.88vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles0.83+3.15vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara0.82+2.07vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii2.07-0.88vs Predicted
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5Santa Clara University1.42-0.90vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California0.78-0.84vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego1.38-2.74vs Predicted
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8California Poly Maritime Academy-0.83-0.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.88Stanford University3.060.5%1st Place
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5.15University of California at Los Angeles0.830.0%1st Place
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5.07University of California at Santa Barbara0.820.1%1st Place
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3.12University of Hawaii2.070.2%1st Place
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4.1Santa Clara University1.420.1%1st Place
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5.16University of Southern California0.780.0%1st Place
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4.26University of California at San Diego1.380.1%1st Place
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7.26California Poly Maritime Academy-0.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yuki Yoshiyasu | 49.8% | 26.2% | 15.0% | 5.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nora Brackbill | 4.8% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 12.6% | 17.0% | 19.9% | 20.0% | 9.3% |
| Lauren Dykman | 5.5% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 13.2% | 14.1% | 20.6% | 21.9% | 7.1% |
| Hanne Nagatani | 16.7% | 24.8% | 20.4% | 17.3% | 12.5% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Francesca Cappellini | 9.3% | 12.3% | 17.1% | 19.3% | 16.0% | 16.6% | 7.7% | 1.7% |
| Olivia Gebelein | 4.7% | 6.5% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 16.6% | 17.6% | 23.2% | 8.2% |
| Anna Hagberg | 8.8% | 11.6% | 16.9% | 16.5% | 18.0% | 13.0% | 12.1% | 3.1% |
| Eileen Welch | 0.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 12.4% | 70.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.