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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Virginia-0.72+2.57vs Predicted
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2Penn State Behrend-0.45+1.24vs Predicted
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3Unknown School-0.93+0.99vs Predicted
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4American University-1.01+0.27vs Predicted
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5Drexel University-1.66+0.48vs Predicted
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6University of Delaware-2.10+0.15vs Predicted
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7U. S. Military Academy-1.71-1.43vs Predicted
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8Princeton University-0.79-4.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.57University of Virginia-0.7218.4%1st Place
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3.24Penn State Behrend-0.4520.9%1st Place
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3.99Unknown School-0.9315.3%1st Place
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4.27American University-1.0111.8%1st Place
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5.48Drexel University-1.665.9%1st Place
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6.15University of Delaware-2.104.5%1st Place
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5.57U. S. Military Academy-1.716.6%1st Place
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3.73Princeton University-0.7916.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lydia Sweeney | 18.4% | 17.2% | 17.5% | 13.4% | 13.8% | 11.2% | 6.2% | 2.4% |
| Bryce Nill | 20.9% | 20.5% | 17.4% | 16.2% | 12.1% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 1.6% |
| Luke Plecinoga | 15.3% | 14.6% | 13.9% | 14.7% | 13.5% | 13.5% | 10.5% | 4.0% |
| Ryan Curtis | 11.8% | 12.7% | 13.5% | 15.2% | 16.1% | 13.2% | 11.7% | 5.9% |
| Ben Muchin | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 15.8% | 21.6% | 20.1% |
| Michael Pugh | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 12.7% | 17.8% | 38.8% |
| Gil Hankinson | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 15.3% | 20.0% | 24.1% |
| Bracklinn Williams | 16.6% | 16.9% | 15.8% | 15.3% | 12.9% | 11.6% | 7.8% | 3.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.