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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.06+0.86vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara0.82+3.16vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii2.07+0.13vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles0.83+1.13vs Predicted
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5Santa Clara University1.42-0.85vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego1.38-1.82vs Predicted
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7California Poly Maritime Academy-0.83+0.24vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California0.78-2.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.86Stanford University3.060.5%1st Place
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5.16University of California at Santa Barbara0.820.1%1st Place
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3.13University of Hawaii2.070.2%1st Place
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5.13University of California at Los Angeles0.830.1%1st Place
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4.15Santa Clara University1.420.1%1st Place
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4.18University of California at San Diego1.380.1%1st Place
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7.24California Poly Maritime Academy-0.830.0%1st Place
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5.14University of Southern California0.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yuki Yoshiyasu | 49.3% | 28.4% | 13.0% | 6.4% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Dykman | 5.0% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 15.6% | 21.7% | 21.5% | 7.8% |
| Hanne Nagatani | 18.2% | 21.9% | 21.0% | 18.2% | 12.3% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Nora Brackbill | 5.2% | 7.1% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 15.8% | 18.6% | 22.7% | 8.2% |
| Francesca Cappellini | 8.0% | 14.4% | 17.0% | 17.4% | 16.1% | 15.1% | 9.9% | 2.1% |
| Anna Hagberg | 9.5% | 11.4% | 17.6% | 17.5% | 17.3% | 13.3% | 10.5% | 2.9% |
| Eileen Welch | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 7.4% | 11.6% | 70.0% |
| Olivia Gebelein | 3.6% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 14.6% | 16.8% | 18.0% | 21.2% | 8.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.