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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Virginia-0.72+2.50vs Predicted
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2Unknown School-0.93+2.11vs Predicted
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3Penn State Behrend-0.45+0.24vs Predicted
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4Drexel University-1.66+1.45vs Predicted
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5U. S. Military Academy-1.71+0.53vs Predicted
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6University of Delaware-2.10+0.13vs Predicted
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7American University-1.01-2.78vs Predicted
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8Princeton University-0.79-4.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.5University of Virginia-0.7219.7%1st Place
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4.11Unknown School-0.9312.8%1st Place
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3.24Penn State Behrend-0.4522.5%1st Place
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5.45Drexel University-1.666.9%1st Place
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5.53U. S. Military Academy-1.716.4%1st Place
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6.13University of Delaware-2.104.0%1st Place
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4.22American University-1.0112.3%1st Place
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3.83Princeton University-0.7915.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lydia Sweeney | 19.7% | 18.6% | 14.9% | 14.5% | 13.9% | 9.7% | 6.3% | 2.4% |
| Luke Plecinoga | 12.8% | 13.4% | 14.7% | 16.6% | 14.0% | 13.4% | 10.1% | 5.1% |
| Bryce Nill | 22.5% | 18.9% | 18.9% | 13.6% | 11.4% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 1.1% |
| Ben Muchin | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 15.5% | 20.7% | 20.3% |
| Gil Hankinson | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 15.2% | 19.3% | 24.1% |
| Michael Pugh | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 19.1% | 38.1% |
| Ryan Curtis | 12.3% | 13.6% | 14.1% | 14.0% | 14.9% | 14.3% | 11.2% | 5.7% |
| Bracklinn Williams | 15.4% | 16.2% | 15.0% | 15.3% | 14.5% | 12.2% | 8.2% | 3.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.