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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.06+0.87vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.07+1.12vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego1.38+1.22vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California0.78+1.21vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara0.82+0.10vs Predicted
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6Santa Clara University1.42-1.90vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles0.83-1.86vs Predicted
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8California Poly Maritime Academy-0.83-0.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.87Stanford University3.060.5%1st Place
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3.12University of Hawaii2.070.2%1st Place
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4.22University of California at San Diego1.380.1%1st Place
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5.21University of Southern California0.780.0%1st Place
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5.1University of California at Santa Barbara0.820.0%1st Place
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4.1Santa Clara University1.420.1%1st Place
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5.14University of California at Los Angeles0.830.0%1st Place
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7.25California Poly Maritime Academy-0.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yuki Yoshiyasu | 50.1% | 26.5% | 14.5% | 5.6% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hanne Nagatani | 17.1% | 23.2% | 22.7% | 16.6% | 11.3% | 6.4% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| Anna Hagberg | 8.6% | 12.7% | 15.2% | 18.2% | 18.0% | 14.6% | 9.8% | 2.9% |
| Olivia Gebelein | 4.7% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 13.1% | 15.4% | 19.2% | 22.4% | 9.3% |
| Lauren Dykman | 4.8% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 14.9% | 15.0% | 20.6% | 19.7% | 8.3% |
| Francesca Cappellini | 9.1% | 13.9% | 17.9% | 15.2% | 19.0% | 13.7% | 8.6% | 2.6% |
| Nora Brackbill | 4.9% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 13.5% | 15.0% | 18.9% | 22.7% | 8.1% |
| Eileen Welch | 0.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 14.2% | 68.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.