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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Penn State Behrend-0.45+2.37vs Predicted
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2University of Virginia-0.72+1.58vs Predicted
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3American University-1.01+1.39vs Predicted
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4Unknown School-0.93+0.28vs Predicted
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5Drexel University-0.93-0.72vs Predicted
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6Princeton University-0.79-2.06vs Predicted
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7U. S. Military Academy-1.71-1.18vs Predicted
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8University of Delaware-2.09-1.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.37Penn State Behrend-0.4519.5%1st Place
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3.58University of Virginia-0.7219.3%1st Place
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4.39American University-1.0111.2%1st Place
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4.28Unknown School-0.9312.2%1st Place
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4.28Drexel University-0.9313.0%1st Place
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3.94Princeton University-0.7915.0%1st Place
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5.82U. S. Military Academy-1.715.8%1st Place
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6.34University of Delaware-2.094.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bryce Nill | 19.5% | 20.2% | 16.7% | 15.4% | 12.6% | 9.0% | 4.8% | 1.9% |
Lydia Sweeney | 19.3% | 17.4% | 15.5% | 14.7% | 13.2% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 3.0% |
Ryan Curtis | 11.2% | 12.6% | 13.0% | 13.9% | 15.7% | 14.1% | 11.8% | 8.0% |
Luke Plecinoga | 12.2% | 12.2% | 13.8% | 14.9% | 14.4% | 14.5% | 11.9% | 5.9% |
Nathaniel Adams | 13.0% | 12.9% | 13.3% | 13.2% | 13.7% | 15.7% | 12.2% | 6.0% |
Bracklinn Williams | 15.0% | 15.2% | 15.4% | 14.6% | 13.7% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 5.0% |
Gil Hankinson | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 13.6% | 23.1% | 27.9% |
Taylor Whiteman | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 11.6% | 19.9% | 42.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.