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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Virginia-0.72+2.67vs Predicted
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2Penn State Behrend-0.45+1.44vs Predicted
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3Unknown School-0.93+1.31vs Predicted
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4Drexel University-0.93+0.27vs Predicted
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5American University-1.01-0.65vs Predicted
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6Princeton University-0.79-2.07vs Predicted
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7U. S. Military Academy-1.71-1.22vs Predicted
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8University of Delaware-2.09-1.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.67University of Virginia-0.7218.4%1st Place
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3.44Penn State Behrend-0.4519.8%1st Place
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4.31Unknown School-0.9312.7%1st Place
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4.27Drexel University-0.9312.4%1st Place
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4.35American University-1.0112.7%1st Place
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3.93Princeton University-0.7915.2%1st Place
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5.78U. S. Military Academy-1.715.1%1st Place
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6.26University of Delaware-2.093.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lydia Sweeney | 18.4% | 16.1% | 15.4% | 14.8% | 14.0% | 10.6% | 7.6% | 3.0% |
| Bryce Nill | 19.8% | 19.1% | 16.7% | 14.2% | 13.4% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 2.5% |
| Luke Plecinoga | 12.7% | 13.1% | 11.5% | 15.0% | 14.3% | 14.3% | 13.0% | 6.1% |
| Nathaniel Adams | 12.4% | 12.1% | 15.0% | 13.2% | 14.8% | 14.6% | 11.9% | 5.9% |
| Ryan Curtis | 12.7% | 12.9% | 13.2% | 12.3% | 13.3% | 15.1% | 13.2% | 7.2% |
| Bracklinn Williams | 15.2% | 15.6% | 15.0% | 14.8% | 13.1% | 12.3% | 9.3% | 4.7% |
| Gil Hankinson | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 13.1% | 20.2% | 29.4% |
| Taylor Whiteman | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 11.2% | 18.9% | 41.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.