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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.47+1.03vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.90+0.75vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.77-0.19vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.26+0.79vs Predicted
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5Columbia University0.40+1.06vs Predicted
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6Villanova University1.59-1.55vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania0.02-0.31vs Predicted
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8Virginia Tech-0.24-1.04vs Predicted
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9University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.75-0.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.03Georgetown University3.470.4%1st Place
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2.75U. S. Naval Academy2.900.2%1st Place
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2.81Cornell University2.770.2%1st Place
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4.79George Washington University1.260.1%1st Place
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6.06Columbia University0.400.0%1st Place
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4.45Villanova University1.590.1%1st Place
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6.69University of Pennsylvania0.020.0%1st Place
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6.96Virginia Tech-0.240.0%1st Place
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8.47University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Golden | 41.7% | 29.8% | 17.7% | 6.8% | 3.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Philip Youngberg | 20.3% | 27.0% | 24.6% | 17.6% | 6.9% | 3.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Duncan Howes | 21.9% | 22.8% | 24.6% | 17.7% | 9.9% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Richard Sant | 5.2% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 18.0% | 25.6% | 20.1% | 11.6% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| Laura Maranto | 1.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 8.4% | 14.4% | 21.3% | 23.8% | 17.6% | 4.7% |
| Domenic Re | 6.7% | 6.6% | 13.3% | 22.3% | 22.8% | 18.7% | 7.1% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Matthias Chia | 1.2% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 9.1% | 15.9% | 27.8% | 28.9% | 7.8% |
| George Uehling | 1.3% | 0.8% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 7.2% | 13.7% | 22.0% | 35.9% | 12.1% |
| Samuel Kraft | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 11.8% | 74.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.