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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan Technological University-0.17+3.63vs Predicted
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2Northern Michigan University-0.15+2.57vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan-0.17+1.69vs Predicted
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4Michigan State University-0.44+1.05vs Predicted
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5Hope College-0.31+0.04vs Predicted
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6Michigan Technological University0.96-2.99vs Predicted
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7Northern Michigan University-0.57-1.42vs Predicted
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8Grand Valley State University-0.85-2.15vs Predicted
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9Northwestern University1.49-0.48vs Predicted
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10Unknown School-2.34-1.04vs Predicted
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11Saginaw Valley State University-3.37-0.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.63Michigan Technological University-0.1711.1%1st Place
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4.57Northern Michigan University-0.1513.2%1st Place
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4.69University of Michigan-0.1711.1%1st Place
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5.05Michigan State University-0.449.8%1st Place
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5.04Hope College-0.3110.3%1st Place
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3.01Michigan Technological University0.9625.5%1st Place
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5.58Northern Michigan University-0.578.2%1st Place
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5.85Grand Valley State University-0.856.6%1st Place
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8.52Northwestern University1.492.3%1st Place
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8.96Unknown School-2.341.4%1st Place
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10.08Saginaw Valley State University-3.370.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cecilia Dietsch | 11.1% | 12.7% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Marco Constantini | 13.2% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 13.8% | 11.6% | 12.6% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 4.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| John McCalmont | 11.1% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 12.4% | 13.4% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 4.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Dodge | 9.8% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Caroline Henry | 10.3% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 12.8% | 11.5% | 13.6% | 9.8% | 6.7% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Andrew Michels | 25.5% | 22.2% | 17.8% | 14.6% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julia Janssen | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 14.8% | 10.2% | 3.9% | 0.5% |
| Carly Irwin | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 14.0% | 15.5% | 12.0% | 4.3% | 0.7% |
| Shea Smith | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 9.8% | 22.4% | 30.4% | 14.3% |
| Alex Schlotterer | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 7.6% | 19.7% | 35.1% | 20.6% |
| Piper Luke | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 8.1% | 18.8% | 62.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.