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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.90+3.69vs Predicted
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3Bates College2.43+2.84vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont3.33-0.37vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.64+0.33vs Predicted
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6Harvard University1.90+1.17vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.41-1.13vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.39+0.28vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont3.04-4.72vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.65-4.93vs Predicted
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11Yale University1.64-3.23vs Predicted
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12Brandeis University0.55-1.85vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.69-3.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.69Boston University2.900.1%1st Place
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5.84Bates College2.430.1%1st Place
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3.63University of Vermont3.330.2%1st Place
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5.33University of Rhode Island2.640.1%1st Place
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7.17Harvard University1.900.0%1st Place
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5.87Tufts University2.410.1%1st Place
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8.28Northeastern University1.390.0%1st Place
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4.28University of Vermont3.040.2%1st Place
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5.07Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.650.1%1st Place
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7.77Yale University1.640.0%1st Place
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10.15Brandeis University0.550.0%1st Place
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9.93Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tripp Cashel | 13.3% | 11.5% | 14.2% | 11.0% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Tommy Holmberg | 7.1% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 0.8% |
| Joseph Kelleher | 22.0% | 16.0% | 14.7% | 15.0% | 11.4% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Lyle Fielding | 8.3% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Sam Millham | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 12.5% | 13.5% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 3.7% |
| John Work | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 1.0% |
| Marshall McLean | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 18.1% | 16.2% | 11.3% |
| Kenneth Layton | 16.4% | 15.8% | 13.5% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Steven Drapcho | 9.4% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 12.5% | 12.1% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Stevens | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 16.8% | 13.8% | 6.7% |
| Meghan Breslin-Jewer | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 7.9% | 11.2% | 22.6% | 40.1% |
| Santiago Enrique | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 8.7% | 13.2% | 23.2% | 35.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.