Race 3A

robert-p-arrigan-memorial-regatta

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

88.9%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Sean Golden 42.1% 28.6% 18.7% 6.3% 3.4% 0.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Duncan Howes 17.6% 24.9% 24.9% 19.0% 8.1% 4.8% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Philip Youngberg 24.2% 25.8% 23.4% 16.6% 7.8% 1.4% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Richard Sant 4.9% 6.8% 9.3% 18.6% 23.6% 21.0% 11.7% 3.6% 0.5%
Laura Maranto 1.6% 3.1% 4.8% 9.0% 14.6% 21.4% 22.1% 18.3% 5.1%
Domenic Re 6.5% 6.8% 13.0% 21.2% 25.5% 17.5% 7.0% 2.4% 0.1%
George Uehling 0.9% 1.5% 2.1% 3.7% 6.0% 13.4% 25.2% 35.1% 12.1%
Samuel Kraft 0.3% 0.7% 0.6% 0.5% 1.7% 3.6% 6.2% 13.0% 73.4%
Matthias Chia 1.9% 1.8% 3.2% 5.1% 9.3% 16.3% 26.0% 27.6% 8.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.