← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Luke Plecinoga 13.7% 12.0% 11.2% 13.7% 12.8% 11.3% 11.8% 8.2% 5.3%
Bryce Nill 20.3% 19.0% 15.3% 13.7% 12.3% 9.2% 5.6% 3.8% 0.9%
Lydia Sweeney 14.3% 14.6% 16.9% 14.5% 12.7% 11.0% 8.7% 5.1% 2.1%
Bracklinn Williams 14.2% 14.8% 12.3% 13.6% 14.1% 11.6% 9.2% 6.7% 3.5%
Eric Garvey 10.9% 11.3% 12.5% 12.0% 12.8% 12.2% 13.2% 9.4% 5.5%
Gil Hankinson 5.0% 5.7% 6.7% 6.6% 8.1% 11.2% 12.8% 20.9% 23.1%
Ben Muchin 5.5% 5.9% 7.7% 8.6% 9.2% 11.6% 14.1% 17.2% 20.2%
Ryan Curtis 12.0% 12.2% 11.9% 11.7% 12.4% 12.6% 12.3% 9.0% 5.8%
Michael Pugh 4.1% 4.2% 5.5% 5.7% 5.8% 9.2% 12.2% 19.6% 33.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.