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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.77+1.83vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.47+0.14vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.90-0.35vs Predicted
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4Villanova University1.59+0.32vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.26-0.16vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech-0.24+0.95vs Predicted
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7Columbia University0.40-0.84vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania0.02-1.34vs Predicted
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9University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.75-0.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.83Cornell University2.770.2%1st Place
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2.14Georgetown University3.470.4%1st Place
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2.65U. S. Naval Academy2.900.2%1st Place
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4.32Villanova University1.590.1%1st Place
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4.84George Washington University1.260.0%1st Place
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6.95Virginia Tech-0.240.0%1st Place
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6.16Columbia University0.400.0%1st Place
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6.66University of Pennsylvania0.020.0%1st Place
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8.45University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duncan Howes | 20.9% | 23.9% | 24.0% | 17.9% | 9.6% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Golden | 37.7% | 29.4% | 19.7% | 9.0% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Philip Youngberg | 25.0% | 25.0% | 23.1% | 16.6% | 8.0% | 2.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Domenic Re | 7.0% | 8.8% | 13.4% | 22.1% | 24.4% | 15.7% | 6.4% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Richard Sant | 4.7% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 17.5% | 22.4% | 21.1% | 11.1% | 4.9% | 1.0% |
| George Uehling | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 13.4% | 22.9% | 35.9% | 11.1% |
| Laura Maranto | 2.0% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 13.5% | 23.7% | 25.6% | 17.8% | 4.4% |
| Matthias Chia | 1.6% | 1.3% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 9.3% | 17.4% | 26.1% | 27.3% | 9.0% |
| Samuel Kraft | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 6.9% | 12.1% | 74.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.