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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.46+8.01vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.85+6.39vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.90+4.93vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+5.17vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+5.23vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.75+2.75vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara2.04+3.18vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.45+1.36vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.79+2.09vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57-1.09vs Predicted
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11Yale University2.73-3.86vs Predicted
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12Harvard University3.05-5.01vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.12-1.85vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16-2.47vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy1.95-3.30vs Predicted
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16North Carolina State University1.78-4.20vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College1.95-5.27vs Predicted
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18Boston College2.20-7.79vs Predicted
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19University of Wisconsin1.14-4.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.01Tulane University2.466.0%1st Place
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8.39Brown University2.857.6%1st Place
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7.93Dartmouth College2.908.2%1st Place
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9.17Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.315.3%1st Place
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10.23U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.174.0%1st Place
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8.75Georgetown University2.755.7%1st Place
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10.18University of California at Santa Barbara2.045.1%1st Place
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9.36Roger Williams University2.455.2%1st Place
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11.09Boston University1.793.9%1st Place
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8.91St. Mary's College of Maryland2.576.8%1st Place
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7.14Yale University2.739.7%1st Place
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6.99Harvard University3.059.2%1st Place
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11.15Tufts University2.124.0%1st Place
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11.53Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.164.0%1st Place
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11.7U. S. Naval Academy1.953.1%1st Place
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11.8North Carolina State University1.782.8%1st Place
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11.73Connecticut College1.953.2%1st Place
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10.21Boston College2.205.0%1st Place
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14.74University of Wisconsin1.141.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Giblin | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.5% |
| Connor Nelson | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.1% |
| Robert Bragg | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.4% |
| Daniel Unangst | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.2% |
| Mariner Fagan | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.5% |
| Chris Kayda | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.9% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.5% |
| Tyler Mowry | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% |
| Owen Hennessey | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.7% |
| Jack Egan | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Trevor Davis | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% |
| Will Murray | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.9% |
| Trenton Shaw | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 8.0% |
| Adam Larson | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.1% |
| Walter Henry | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 8.5% |
| Michael Kirkman | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.6% |
| Charlie Herrick | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 13.9% | 32.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.