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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.47+1.05vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.90+0.78vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.26+1.90vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.77-1.25vs Predicted
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5Villanova University1.59-0.69vs Predicted
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6Columbia University0.40+0.10vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania0.02-0.33vs Predicted
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8Virginia Tech-0.24-1.02vs Predicted
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9University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.75-0.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.05Georgetown University3.470.4%1st Place
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2.78U. S. Naval Academy2.900.2%1st Place
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4.9George Washington University1.260.0%1st Place
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2.75Cornell University2.770.2%1st Place
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4.31Villanova University1.590.1%1st Place
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6.1Columbia University0.400.0%1st Place
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6.67University of Pennsylvania0.020.0%1st Place
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6.98Virginia Tech-0.240.0%1st Place
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8.46University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Golden | 42.0% | 28.6% | 16.2% | 9.9% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Philip Youngberg | 19.7% | 26.0% | 26.0% | 17.1% | 8.0% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Richard Sant | 4.7% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 17.6% | 25.0% | 20.9% | 12.3% | 4.7% | 0.4% |
| Duncan Howes | 22.9% | 23.8% | 24.0% | 17.6% | 8.5% | 2.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Domenic Re | 6.2% | 10.3% | 15.0% | 21.0% | 23.2% | 14.4% | 6.9% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Laura Maranto | 1.8% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 7.0% | 14.4% | 22.9% | 26.6% | 17.2% | 3.3% |
| Matthias Chia | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 10.4% | 19.1% | 23.7% | 29.8% | 7.4% |
| George Uehling | 1.4% | 0.8% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 13.5% | 23.5% | 34.0% | 13.3% |
| Samuel Kraft | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 11.8% | 75.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.