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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.47+1.02vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.90+0.77vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.77-0.18vs Predicted
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4Villanova University1.59+0.36vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.26-0.18vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania0.02+0.63vs Predicted
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7Columbia University0.40-0.85vs Predicted
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8Virginia Tech-0.24-1.02vs Predicted
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9University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.75-0.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.02Georgetown University3.470.4%1st Place
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2.77U. S. Naval Academy2.900.2%1st Place
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2.82Cornell University2.770.2%1st Place
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4.36Villanova University1.590.1%1st Place
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4.82George Washington University1.260.0%1st Place
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6.63University of Pennsylvania0.020.0%1st Place
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6.15Columbia University0.400.0%1st Place
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6.98Virginia Tech-0.240.0%1st Place
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8.46University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Golden | 42.0% | 29.2% | 17.5% | 8.1% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Philip Youngberg | 20.4% | 27.2% | 24.9% | 14.4% | 9.9% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Duncan Howes | 22.3% | 22.1% | 23.8% | 19.5% | 8.7% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Domenic Re | 6.4% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 24.0% | 24.4% | 15.6% | 6.8% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Richard Sant | 4.5% | 7.0% | 11.5% | 16.9% | 22.1% | 21.4% | 10.8% | 5.1% | 0.7% |
| Matthias Chia | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 5.0% | 10.9% | 16.4% | 26.6% | 28.2% | 7.3% |
| Laura Maranto | 1.8% | 2.1% | 4.5% | 7.7% | 12.5% | 23.7% | 26.1% | 17.3% | 4.3% |
| George Uehling | 1.3% | 0.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 7.6% | 13.4% | 22.5% | 34.9% | 13.0% |
| Samuel Kraft | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 12.5% | 74.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.