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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Villanova University1.59+3.42vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.47+0.12vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.77-0.17vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.26+0.81vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.90-2.40vs Predicted
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6Columbia University0.40+0.09vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech-0.24+0.03vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania0.02-1.37vs Predicted
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9University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.75-0.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.42Villanova University1.590.1%1st Place
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2.12Georgetown University3.470.4%1st Place
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2.83Cornell University2.770.2%1st Place
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4.81George Washington University1.260.0%1st Place
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2.6U. S. Naval Academy2.900.3%1st Place
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6.09Columbia University0.400.0%1st Place
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7.03Virginia Tech-0.240.0%1st Place
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6.63University of Pennsylvania0.020.0%1st Place
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8.46University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Domenic Re | 6.6% | 7.5% | 13.3% | 22.4% | 23.8% | 15.7% | 8.2% | 2.4% | 0.1% |
| Sean Golden | 38.0% | 29.9% | 18.9% | 9.2% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Duncan Howes | 20.3% | 23.8% | 24.0% | 20.1% | 8.3% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Richard Sant | 4.7% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 18.8% | 24.8% | 19.9% | 11.5% | 3.4% | 1.0% |
| Philip Youngberg | 26.0% | 25.9% | 24.1% | 13.4% | 7.6% | 2.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Laura Maranto | 1.8% | 2.4% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 13.6% | 24.0% | 25.6% | 17.9% | 2.7% |
| George Uehling | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 7.3% | 12.5% | 22.9% | 37.0% | 12.3% |
| Matthias Chia | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 9.4% | 19.0% | 24.8% | 26.9% | 9.1% |
| Samuel Kraft | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 6.1% | 12.2% | 74.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.