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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.77+1.84vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.47+0.13vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.90-0.34vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.26+0.82vs Predicted
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5Villanova University1.59-0.66vs Predicted
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6Columbia University0.40+0.09vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech-0.24+0.04vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania0.02-1.37vs Predicted
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9University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.75-0.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.84Cornell University2.770.2%1st Place
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2.13Georgetown University3.470.4%1st Place
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2.66U. S. Naval Academy2.900.2%1st Place
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4.82George Washington University1.260.0%1st Place
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4.34Villanova University1.590.1%1st Place
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6.09Columbia University0.400.0%1st Place
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7.04Virginia Tech-0.240.0%1st Place
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6.63University of Pennsylvania0.020.0%1st Place
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8.46University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duncan Howes | 21.0% | 23.9% | 23.9% | 17.4% | 10.0% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sean Golden | 37.7% | 30.2% | 18.7% | 8.8% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Philip Youngberg | 24.6% | 25.3% | 22.6% | 17.8% | 7.3% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Richard Sant | 4.9% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 17.9% | 25.5% | 19.2% | 12.1% | 3.4% | 1.0% |
| Domenic Re | 6.8% | 8.9% | 14.6% | 22.2% | 21.7% | 15.7% | 7.0% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Laura Maranto | 2.1% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 7.8% | 13.7% | 23.5% | 26.3% | 17.7% | 2.6% |
| George Uehling | 1.1% | 0.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 6.8% | 13.9% | 21.9% | 37.6% | 12.2% |
| Matthias Chia | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 9.6% | 18.9% | 25.4% | 26.4% | 9.0% |
| Samuel Kraft | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 6.1% | 12.2% | 74.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.