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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.47+1.04vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.77+0.92vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.90-0.33vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.26+0.81vs Predicted
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5Villanova University1.59-0.67vs Predicted
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6Columbia University0.40+0.11vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania0.02-0.32vs Predicted
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8Virginia Tech-0.24-1.02vs Predicted
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9University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.75-0.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.04Georgetown University3.470.4%1st Place
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2.92Cornell University2.770.2%1st Place
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2.67U. S. Naval Academy2.900.2%1st Place
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4.81George Washington University1.260.0%1st Place
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4.33Villanova University1.590.1%1st Place
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6.11Columbia University0.400.0%1st Place
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6.68University of Pennsylvania0.020.0%1st Place
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6.98Virginia Tech-0.240.0%1st Place
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8.46University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Golden | 42.1% | 29.3% | 16.1% | 8.5% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Duncan Howes | 17.7% | 24.3% | 26.0% | 17.1% | 11.3% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Philip Youngberg | 24.3% | 24.8% | 23.2% | 18.1% | 6.8% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Richard Sant | 4.9% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 18.0% | 26.5% | 18.9% | 11.5% | 3.7% | 0.9% |
| Domenic Re | 6.4% | 10.3% | 13.7% | 22.7% | 21.0% | 15.7% | 7.4% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Laura Maranto | 1.9% | 1.9% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 13.3% | 23.5% | 25.9% | 18.0% | 3.1% |
| Matthias Chia | 1.2% | 1.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 8.9% | 18.6% | 26.5% | 28.7% | 7.5% |
| George Uehling | 1.2% | 1.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 7.2% | 14.7% | 21.7% | 34.7% | 13.3% |
| Samuel Kraft | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 5.9% | 12.4% | 74.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.