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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.77+1.12vs Predicted
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2Villanova University1.59+1.57vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.90-0.98vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.260.00vs Predicted
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5Columbia University0.40+0.15vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech-0.24+0.01vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania0.02-1.32vs Predicted
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8University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.75-0.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.12Cornell University2.770.4%1st Place
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3.57Villanova University1.590.1%1st Place
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2.02U. S. Naval Academy2.900.4%1st Place
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4.0George Washington University1.260.1%1st Place
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5.15Columbia University0.400.0%1st Place
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6.01Virginia Tech-0.240.0%1st Place
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5.68University of Pennsylvania0.020.0%1st Place
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7.45University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duncan Howes | 36.4% | 31.7% | 19.4% | 9.1% | 2.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Domenic Re | 9.9% | 13.8% | 26.0% | 23.3% | 16.1% | 8.5% | 2.3% | 0.1% |
| Philip Youngberg | 39.0% | 33.0% | 17.3% | 8.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Richard Sant | 7.2% | 11.7% | 16.8% | 25.8% | 21.4% | 11.9% | 4.4% | 0.8% |
| Laura Maranto | 3.4% | 4.1% | 8.1% | 15.1% | 22.3% | 25.7% | 17.5% | 3.8% |
| George Uehling | 1.4% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 17.1% | 21.6% | 33.5% | 13.5% |
| Matthias Chia | 2.6% | 2.3% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 16.2% | 26.1% | 27.8% | 8.8% |
| Samuel Kraft | 0.1% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 5.5% | 14.2% | 73.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.