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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.90+1.01vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.77+0.16vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.26+0.97vs Predicted
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4Villanova University1.59-0.45vs Predicted
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5Columbia University0.40+0.16vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania0.02-0.35vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech-0.24-0.97vs Predicted
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8University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.75-0.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.01U. S. Naval Academy2.900.4%1st Place
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2.16Cornell University2.770.3%1st Place
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3.97George Washington University1.260.1%1st Place
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3.55Villanova University1.590.1%1st Place
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5.16Columbia University0.400.0%1st Place
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5.65University of Pennsylvania0.020.0%1st Place
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6.03Virginia Tech-0.240.0%1st Place
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7.46University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philip Youngberg | 41.4% | 30.3% | 17.7% | 8.2% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Duncan Howes | 33.2% | 33.6% | 20.9% | 9.0% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Richard Sant | 7.5% | 11.2% | 18.2% | 25.3% | 20.6% | 12.1% | 4.7% | 0.4% |
| Domenic Re | 9.8% | 15.1% | 24.7% | 23.9% | 16.3% | 7.7% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Laura Maranto | 3.4% | 4.1% | 7.4% | 14.7% | 23.7% | 25.4% | 17.7% | 3.6% |
| Matthias Chia | 2.6% | 2.3% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 19.8% | 25.1% | 26.7% | 8.4% |
| George Uehling | 1.9% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 7.6% | 12.3% | 23.6% | 34.5% | 13.6% |
| Samuel Kraft | 0.2% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 5.2% | 14.0% | 73.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.