Race 8B

boston

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Joseph Kelleher 18.5% 18.5% 17.6% 13.0% 10.6% 8.0% 6.8% 3.4% 2.2% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Kenneth Layton 14.8% 15.1% 13.8% 12.3% 12.8% 9.1% 9.7% 6.3% 3.9% 1.2% 1.0% 0.0%
Tripp Cashel 14.6% 11.1% 14.6% 10.2% 11.9% 12.7% 9.7% 7.2% 5.1% 1.6% 1.1% 0.2%
Lyle Fielding 8.7% 12.3% 9.9% 12.1% 11.5% 11.0% 10.7% 8.5% 6.8% 5.4% 2.5% 0.6%
Tommy Holmberg 8.4% 9.0% 8.9% 9.4% 11.4% 10.9% 10.4% 10.0% 9.2% 6.7% 4.5% 1.2%
Nathan Stevens 3.8% 3.7% 4.1% 6.4% 4.8% 7.0% 9.2% 10.9% 13.0% 17.2% 13.2% 6.7%
John Work 9.1% 9.1% 9.5% 9.2% 9.3% 11.3% 11.0% 10.5% 9.3% 7.2% 2.9% 1.6%
Steven Drapcho 12.0% 10.6% 9.9% 11.5% 12.0% 10.5% 9.7% 10.2% 7.2% 3.2% 2.2% 1.0%
Santiago Enrique 1.0% 1.6% 1.3% 2.5% 2.6% 2.6% 4.2% 6.0% 8.5% 13.3% 24.5% 31.9%
Marshall McLean 3.3% 3.3% 3.4% 3.6% 4.8% 6.7% 6.2% 10.9% 12.7% 15.8% 17.9% 11.4%
Sam Millham 4.8% 3.9% 5.7% 7.3% 6.4% 8.1% 9.4% 11.1% 14.4% 15.1% 8.8% 5.0%
Meghan Breslin-Jewer 1.0% 1.8% 1.3% 2.5% 1.9% 2.1% 3.0% 5.0% 7.7% 12.0% 21.3% 40.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.