Race 4A

laker-showdown

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Andrew Michels 25.9% 21.3% 17.0% 13.9% 9.1% 7.1% 3.5% 1.4% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Cecilia Dietsch 13.1% 13.5% 13.3% 13.1% 13.2% 11.5% 9.4% 7.3% 4.4% 1.2% 0.1%
John McCalmont 11.5% 11.6% 13.5% 11.7% 13.3% 12.4% 12.0% 8.5% 3.9% 1.4% 0.2%
Ryan Dodge 10.1% 11.5% 11.6% 11.5% 12.0% 12.5% 10.4% 11.5% 6.3% 2.2% 0.4%
Marco Constantini 11.2% 11.9% 13.8% 11.4% 12.2% 12.7% 10.8% 10.3% 4.3% 1.4% 0.1%
Alex Schlotterer 1.6% 1.6% 2.1% 2.5% 2.9% 2.6% 5.7% 7.9% 17.8% 35.3% 20.1%
Caroline Henry 10.2% 9.8% 9.8% 10.9% 13.2% 12.3% 12.2% 11.2% 7.1% 2.7% 0.4%
Carly Irwin 5.8% 7.5% 8.0% 10.3% 10.0% 9.9% 14.8% 16.3% 12.8% 4.0% 0.6%
Julia Janssen 8.6% 8.2% 8.2% 10.0% 11.0% 13.5% 13.2% 14.0% 9.2% 3.7% 0.5%
Shea Smith 1.4% 2.2% 2.2% 3.8% 2.5% 4.3% 5.8% 8.5% 25.1% 30.2% 14.1%
Piper Luke 0.8% 0.9% 0.7% 1.1% 0.7% 1.2% 2.1% 3.0% 8.2% 17.9% 63.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.