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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+9.07vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.46+6.96vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.90+5.08vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.85+4.18vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.12+6.25vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16+5.50vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.75+1.68vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.05-0.96vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.45+0.32vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.20+0.18vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57-1.96vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy1.95-0.57vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara2.04-2.98vs Predicted
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14North Carolina State University1.78-2.37vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.79-3.82vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-6.86vs Predicted
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17Yale University2.73-9.82vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College1.95-5.74vs Predicted
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19University of Wisconsin1.14-4.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.07U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.175.0%1st Place
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8.96Tulane University2.466.2%1st Place
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8.08Dartmouth College2.907.1%1st Place
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8.18Brown University2.857.3%1st Place
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11.25Tufts University2.122.9%1st Place
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11.5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.164.0%1st Place
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8.68Georgetown University2.756.5%1st Place
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7.04Harvard University3.059.4%1st Place
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9.32Roger Williams University2.455.7%1st Place
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10.18Boston College2.204.5%1st Place
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9.04St. Mary's College of Maryland2.575.7%1st Place
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11.43U. S. Naval Academy1.953.9%1st Place
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10.02University of California at Santa Barbara2.044.0%1st Place
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11.63North Carolina State University1.783.5%1st Place
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11.18Boston University1.793.6%1st Place
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9.14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.315.9%1st Place
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7.18Yale University2.739.6%1st Place
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12.26Connecticut College1.953.5%1st Place
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14.85University of Wisconsin1.141.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Unangst | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.4% |
| Cameron Giblin | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.6% |
| Robert Bragg | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Connor Nelson | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| Trevor Davis | 2.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 6.3% |
| Will Murray | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 8.2% |
| Mariner Fagan | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.1% |
| Michael Kirkman | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 3.1% |
| Owen Hennessey | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Trenton Shaw | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% |
| Chris Kayda | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 2.7% |
| Adam Larson | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.6% |
| Tyler Mowry | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.7% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.8% |
| Jack Egan | 9.6% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Walter Henry | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 11.2% |
| Charlie Herrick | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 12.3% | 34.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.