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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.77+1.12vs Predicted
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2George Washington University1.26+2.00vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.90-0.97vs Predicted
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4Villanova University1.59-0.44vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania0.02+0.67vs Predicted
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6Columbia University0.40-0.85vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech-0.24-0.99vs Predicted
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8University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.75-0.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.12Cornell University2.770.4%1st Place
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4.0George Washington University1.260.1%1st Place
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2.03U. S. Naval Academy2.900.4%1st Place
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3.56Villanova University1.590.1%1st Place
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5.67University of Pennsylvania0.020.0%1st Place
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5.15Columbia University0.400.0%1st Place
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6.01Virginia Tech-0.240.0%1st Place
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7.46University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duncan Howes | 36.2% | 31.6% | 19.4% | 9.8% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Richard Sant | 7.3% | 10.4% | 19.9% | 24.1% | 20.3% | 12.4% | 5.1% | 0.5% |
| Philip Youngberg | 38.5% | 33.5% | 18.2% | 6.8% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Domenic Re | 10.2% | 15.0% | 22.6% | 25.5% | 16.5% | 8.1% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Matthias Chia | 2.2% | 2.8% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 18.2% | 26.3% | 28.0% | 7.6% |
| Laura Maranto | 3.0% | 4.3% | 7.4% | 16.8% | 23.1% | 23.9% | 17.1% | 4.4% |
| George Uehling | 2.4% | 1.7% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 13.5% | 23.5% | 34.2% | 13.3% |
| Samuel Kraft | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 13.7% | 73.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.