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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.90+1.01vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.77+0.16vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania0.02+2.65vs Predicted
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4Villanova University1.59-0.45vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.26-0.98vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech-0.24+0.01vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.75+0.46vs Predicted
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8Columbia University0.40-2.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.01U. S. Naval Academy2.900.4%1st Place
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2.16Cornell University2.770.3%1st Place
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5.65University of Pennsylvania0.020.0%1st Place
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3.55Villanova University1.590.1%1st Place
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4.02George Washington University1.260.1%1st Place
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6.01Virginia Tech-0.240.0%1st Place
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7.46University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.750.0%1st Place
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5.15Columbia University0.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philip Youngberg | 41.7% | 29.7% | 18.4% | 7.2% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Duncan Howes | 34.1% | 32.8% | 20.5% | 9.1% | 3.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthias Chia | 2.1% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 11.3% | 14.3% | 25.0% | 29.3% | 8.2% |
| Domenic Re | 10.0% | 15.3% | 23.1% | 24.8% | 17.5% | 6.9% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Richard Sant | 7.2% | 10.1% | 19.9% | 22.9% | 21.5% | 13.5% | 4.4% | 0.5% |
| George Uehling | 2.0% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 14.2% | 23.2% | 34.4% | 12.9% |
| Samuel Kraft | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 12.9% | 74.2% |
| Laura Maranto | 2.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 16.3% | 23.2% | 25.2% | 16.7% | 4.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.