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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.46+7.14vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.05+4.47vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+6.25vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57+4.62vs Predicted
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52.73+1.83vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.12+4.38vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College1.45+6.05vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+0.64vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.85-1.42vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University2.75-1.96vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy1.95-0.07vs Predicted
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12Boston University1.79-1.59vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara2.04-3.95vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16-3.36vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.45-6.10vs Predicted
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16North Carolina State University1.78-5.15vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin1.14-3.31vs Predicted
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18Boston College2.20-8.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.14Tulane University2.468.2%1st Place
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6.47Harvard University3.0510.7%1st Place
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9.25U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.176.4%1st Place
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8.62St. Mary's College of Maryland2.576.5%1st Place
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6.832.739.8%1st Place
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10.38Tufts University2.124.3%1st Place
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13.05Connecticut College1.451.9%1st Place
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8.64Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.316.2%1st Place
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7.58Brown University2.857.7%1st Place
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8.04Georgetown University2.757.2%1st Place
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10.93U. S. Naval Academy1.953.2%1st Place
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10.41Boston University1.793.5%1st Place
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9.05University of California at Santa Barbara2.045.0%1st Place
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10.64Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.164.2%1st Place
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8.9Roger Williams University2.455.8%1st Place
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10.85North Carolina State University1.783.0%1st Place
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13.69University of Wisconsin1.141.7%1st Place
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9.52Boston College2.204.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Giblin | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 10.7% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Daniel Unangst | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 2.9% |
| Owen Hennessey | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.5% |
| Jack Egan | 9.8% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Trevor Davis | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.7% |
| Harris Padegs | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 13.2% | 20.8% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| Connor Nelson | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Mariner Fagan | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Trenton Shaw | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 8.0% |
| Tyler Mowry | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.1% |
| Chris Kayda | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.7% |
| Will Murray | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.2% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.1% |
| Adam Larson | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 7.1% |
| Charlie Herrick | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 13.1% | 29.9% |
| Michael Kirkman | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.