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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.77+1.15vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.90+0.03vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania0.02+2.62vs Predicted
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4Villanova University1.59-0.44vs Predicted
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5Columbia University0.40+0.16vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech-0.24-0.01vs Predicted
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7George Washington University1.26-2.96vs Predicted
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8University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.75-0.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.15Cornell University2.770.4%1st Place
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2.03U. S. Naval Academy2.900.4%1st Place
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5.62University of Pennsylvania0.020.0%1st Place
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3.56Villanova University1.590.1%1st Place
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5.16Columbia University0.400.0%1st Place
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5.99Virginia Tech-0.240.0%1st Place
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4.04George Washington University1.260.1%1st Place
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7.46University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duncan Howes | 36.2% | 30.3% | 20.8% | 9.1% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Philip Youngberg | 39.2% | 32.8% | 17.7% | 7.4% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthias Chia | 2.0% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 10.3% | 16.4% | 24.8% | 27.0% | 9.0% |
| Domenic Re | 9.7% | 14.6% | 24.8% | 24.1% | 17.1% | 7.6% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Laura Maranto | 3.6% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 14.2% | 23.1% | 26.3% | 18.0% | 3.3% |
| George Uehling | 1.8% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 8.1% | 15.1% | 21.4% | 34.3% | 13.1% |
| Richard Sant | 7.3% | 10.6% | 18.1% | 25.1% | 19.7% | 13.5% | 4.5% | 1.2% |
| Samuel Kraft | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 14.2% | 73.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.