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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.46+7.25vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy1.95+8.86vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.05+3.63vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+4.98vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.12+5.40vs Predicted
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62.73+0.82vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57+1.39vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College1.95+3.34vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University1.94+1.97vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.85-2.29vs Predicted
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11North Carolina State University1.78+0.10vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University2.75-3.78vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16-2.45vs Predicted
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14Boston College2.58-5.95vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Barbara2.04-5.58vs Predicted
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16Boston University1.79-5.69vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin1.14-3.08vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17-8.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.25Tulane University2.466.9%1st Place
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10.86U. S. Naval Academy1.953.6%1st Place
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6.63Harvard University3.0510.5%1st Place
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8.98Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.316.0%1st Place
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10.4Tufts University2.124.3%1st Place
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6.822.739.4%1st Place
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8.39St. Mary's College of Maryland2.576.7%1st Place
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11.34Connecticut College1.953.2%1st Place
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10.97Roger Williams University1.944.1%1st Place
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7.71Brown University2.857.4%1st Place
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11.1North Carolina State University1.783.1%1st Place
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8.22Georgetown University2.757.0%1st Place
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10.55Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.163.5%1st Place
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8.05Boston College2.586.9%1st Place
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9.42University of California at Santa Barbara2.044.8%1st Place
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10.31Boston University1.794.7%1st Place
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13.92University of Wisconsin1.141.7%1st Place
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9.08U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.176.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Giblin | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Trenton Shaw | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 7.8% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 10.5% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.3% |
| Trevor Davis | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% |
| Jack Egan | 9.4% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Owen Hennessey | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| Walter Henry | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 9.9% |
| Mathieu Dale | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% |
| Connor Nelson | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Adam Larson | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.4% |
| Mariner Fagan | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% |
| Will Murray | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.8% |
| Peter Busch | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Chris Kayda | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 2.4% |
| Tyler Mowry | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.9% |
| Charlie Herrick | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 14.3% | 33.1% |
| Daniel Unangst | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 2.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.