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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.90+1.01vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania0.02+3.70vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.26+0.98vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.77-1.85vs Predicted
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5Villanova University1.59-1.45vs Predicted
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6Columbia University0.40-0.85vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.75+0.46vs Predicted
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8Virginia Tech-0.24-2.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.01U. S. Naval Academy2.900.4%1st Place
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5.7University of Pennsylvania0.020.0%1st Place
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3.98George Washington University1.260.1%1st Place
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2.15Cornell University2.770.3%1st Place
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3.55Villanova University1.590.1%1st Place
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5.15Columbia University0.400.0%1st Place
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7.46University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.750.0%1st Place
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6.0Virginia Tech-0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philip Youngberg | 40.4% | 30.5% | 19.2% | 7.2% | 2.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthias Chia | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 9.9% | 16.4% | 25.0% | 29.7% | 8.4% |
| Richard Sant | 8.1% | 10.6% | 18.1% | 23.0% | 24.1% | 10.9% | 4.8% | 0.4% |
| Duncan Howes | 35.0% | 32.5% | 19.1% | 10.3% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Domenic Re | 9.6% | 14.6% | 25.4% | 24.3% | 16.3% | 7.5% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Laura Maranto | 3.1% | 4.3% | 7.9% | 17.3% | 20.0% | 25.3% | 18.6% | 3.5% |
| Samuel Kraft | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 7.2% | 11.2% | 74.8% |
| George Uehling | 0.9% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 15.6% | 23.1% | 33.3% | 12.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.