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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.77+1.14vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.90+0.03vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.26+0.97vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania0.02+1.67vs Predicted
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5Columbia University0.40+0.17vs Predicted
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6Villanova University1.59-2.46vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech-0.24-0.98vs Predicted
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8University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.75-0.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.14Cornell University2.770.4%1st Place
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2.03U. S. Naval Academy2.900.4%1st Place
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3.97George Washington University1.260.1%1st Place
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5.67University of Pennsylvania0.020.0%1st Place
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5.17Columbia University0.400.0%1st Place
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3.54Villanova University1.590.1%1st Place
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6.02Virginia Tech-0.240.0%1st Place
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7.46University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duncan Howes | 36.3% | 29.4% | 22.9% | 8.1% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Philip Youngberg | 38.5% | 33.3% | 18.4% | 6.7% | 2.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Richard Sant | 8.1% | 10.2% | 18.1% | 26.3% | 20.3% | 11.8% | 5.0% | 0.2% |
| Matthias Chia | 1.4% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 10.1% | 19.4% | 24.4% | 26.2% | 9.4% |
| Laura Maranto | 2.9% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 14.7% | 22.9% | 26.0% | 17.5% | 3.8% |
| Domenic Re | 10.5% | 15.3% | 22.8% | 25.0% | 16.7% | 7.4% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| George Uehling | 2.1% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 7.9% | 12.1% | 23.3% | 35.4% | 13.0% |
| Samuel Kraft | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 3.3% | 6.2% | 13.6% | 73.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.