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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.77+1.14vs Predicted
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2George Washington University1.26+2.01vs Predicted
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3Columbia University0.40+2.15vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.90-1.96vs Predicted
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5Villanova University1.59-1.44vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech-0.24-0.02vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania0.02-1.32vs Predicted
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8University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.75-0.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.14Cornell University2.770.4%1st Place
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4.01George Washington University1.260.1%1st Place
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5.15Columbia University0.400.0%1st Place
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2.04U. S. Naval Academy2.900.4%1st Place
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3.56Villanova University1.590.1%1st Place
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5.98Virginia Tech-0.240.0%1st Place
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5.68University of Pennsylvania0.020.0%1st Place
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7.45University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duncan Howes | 36.6% | 30.7% | 20.0% | 8.3% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Richard Sant | 8.3% | 9.1% | 17.3% | 26.6% | 22.1% | 11.2% | 4.9% | 0.5% |
| Laura Maranto | 3.5% | 5.1% | 8.8% | 13.1% | 21.2% | 26.6% | 16.9% | 4.8% |
| Philip Youngberg | 37.8% | 33.9% | 18.3% | 7.5% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Domenic Re | 9.4% | 15.0% | 24.6% | 24.4% | 17.0% | 7.3% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| George Uehling | 1.5% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 7.7% | 15.7% | 20.5% | 34.3% | 13.1% |
| Matthias Chia | 2.7% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 10.2% | 15.8% | 26.7% | 28.0% | 8.5% |
| Samuel Kraft | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 6.2% | 13.9% | 72.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.