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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College2.29+8.59vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.85+4.49vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+5.23vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77+7.09vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland1.62+6.28vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.38+2.04vs Predicted
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7Tulane University1.77+3.14vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.41+0.28vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.09+0.32vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93+0.45vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.60-3.78vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.22-3.13vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.12-1.73vs Predicted
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14Boston College2.02-4.56vs Predicted
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15Brown University2.91-8.90vs Predicted
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16Boston University1.65-4.86vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Barbara1.44-5.96vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin0.17-1.62vs Predicted
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19North Carolina State University0.77-3.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.59Connecticut College2.294.5%1st Place
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6.49Yale University2.8510.5%1st Place
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8.23U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.327.2%1st Place
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11.09Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.773.5%1st Place
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11.28St. Mary's College of Maryland1.623.1%1st Place
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8.04Dartmouth College2.387.7%1st Place
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10.14Tulane University1.773.9%1st Place
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8.28Georgetown University2.416.6%1st Place
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9.32Roger Williams University2.096.0%1st Place
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10.45Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.933.5%1st Place
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7.22U. S. Naval Academy2.609.2%1st Place
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8.87Tufts University2.225.8%1st Place
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11.27Harvard University2.123.1%1st Place
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9.44Boston College2.025.1%1st Place
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6.1Brown University2.9111.3%1st Place
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11.14Boston University1.653.4%1st Place
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11.04University of California at Santa Barbara1.444.0%1st Place
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16.38University of Wisconsin0.170.7%1st Place
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15.63North Carolina State University0.770.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Whittemore | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Stephan Baker | 10.5% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 2.9% |
| Felix Cutler | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 2.9% |
| William Michels | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Asher Zittrer | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| Scott Mais | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Oliver Stokke | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Maks Groom | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 2.0% |
| Nathan Smith | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ben Mueller | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 3.0% |
| Jack Redmond | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 11.3% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Micky Munns | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 2.8% |
| Ted McDonough | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 3.0% |
| Phineas Tait | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 18.1% | 44.8% |
| Harrison Bailey | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 19.9% | 32.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.