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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93+9.30vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.12+9.34vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.85+3.49vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.91+1.90vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.29+4.47vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.60+1.17vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.09+2.33vs Predicted
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8Tulane University1.77+2.42vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.38-0.90vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.65+1.09vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77-0.35vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.02-2.59vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University2.41-4.77vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.22-4.97vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Barbara1.44-3.87vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-7.59vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland1.62-5.54vs Predicted
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18North Carolina State University0.77-2.45vs Predicted
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19University of Wisconsin0.17-2.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.933.9%1st Place
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11.34Harvard University2.123.3%1st Place
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6.49Yale University2.8510.2%1st Place
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5.9Brown University2.9112.9%1st Place
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9.47Connecticut College2.295.0%1st Place
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7.17U. S. Naval Academy2.609.3%1st Place
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9.33Roger Williams University2.094.4%1st Place
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10.42Tulane University1.774.0%1st Place
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8.1Dartmouth College2.386.7%1st Place
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11.09Boston University1.653.6%1st Place
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10.65Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.773.6%1st Place
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9.41Boston College2.025.5%1st Place
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8.23Georgetown University2.416.6%1st Place
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9.03Tufts University2.226.6%1st Place
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11.13University of California at Santa Barbara1.443.6%1st Place
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8.41U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.326.0%1st Place
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11.46St. Mary's College of Maryland1.622.9%1st Place
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15.55North Carolina State University0.771.4%1st Place
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16.52University of Wisconsin0.170.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maks Groom | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 2.1% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 3.1% |
| Stephan Baker | 10.2% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 12.9% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Nathan Smith | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Oliver Stokke | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Asher Zittrer | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 2.0% |
| William Michels | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Micky Munns | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 3.2% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 2.8% |
| Jack Redmond | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Scott Mais | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Ben Mueller | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Ted McDonough | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 2.7% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Felix Cutler | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 3.5% |
| Harrison Bailey | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 21.9% | 30.0% |
| Phineas Tait | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 8.2% | 18.2% | 46.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.