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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.85+5.45vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.38+6.08vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.60+4.32vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.41+4.09vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.91+0.90vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77+5.02vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93+3.38vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.12+3.37vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College2.29+0.45vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.09-0.79vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-2.93vs Predicted
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12Tulane University1.77-1.55vs Predicted
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13Boston College2.02-3.59vs Predicted
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14Boston University1.65-2.74vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.22-6.28vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Barbara1.44-4.71vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland1.62-5.50vs Predicted
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18North Carolina State University0.77-2.46vs Predicted
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19University of Wisconsin0.17-2.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.45Yale University2.8510.5%1st Place
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8.08Dartmouth College2.385.9%1st Place
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7.32U. S. Naval Academy2.608.8%1st Place
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8.09Georgetown University2.416.5%1st Place
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5.9Brown University2.9112.4%1st Place
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11.02Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.773.2%1st Place
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10.38Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.933.7%1st Place
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11.37Harvard University2.122.9%1st Place
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9.45Connecticut College2.295.1%1st Place
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9.21Roger Williams University2.095.5%1st Place
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8.07U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.327.8%1st Place
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10.45Tulane University1.775.0%1st Place
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9.41Boston College2.025.1%1st Place
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11.26Boston University1.652.9%1st Place
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8.72Tufts University2.225.3%1st Place
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11.29University of California at Santa Barbara1.444.1%1st Place
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11.5St. Mary's College of Maryland1.623.6%1st Place
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15.54North Carolina State University0.771.0%1st Place
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16.48University of Wisconsin0.170.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephan Baker | 10.5% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Michels | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Nathan Smith | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Scott Mais | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 12.4% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 2.2% |
| Maks Groom | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 1.8% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 3.4% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 5.1% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| Oliver Stokke | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Asher Zittrer | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 1.9% |
| Jack Redmond | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Micky Munns | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 3.0% |
| Ben Mueller | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Ted McDonough | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 2.5% |
| Felix Cutler | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 3.9% |
| Harrison Bailey | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 21.3% | 30.6% |
| Phineas Tait | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 18.4% | 45.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.