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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.09+8.27vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93+8.27vs Predicted
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3Tulane University1.77+7.27vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.91+2.01vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.29+4.27vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.02+3.30vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.85-0.76vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+0.03vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.38-1.00vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.12+0.96vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University2.41-3.03vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.60-4.75vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara1.44-1.95vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.22-5.29vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.65-4.05vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77-5.50vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland0.90-2.95vs Predicted
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18North Carolina State University0.77-2.62vs Predicted
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19University of Wisconsin0.17-2.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.27Roger Williams University2.095.9%1st Place
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10.27Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.934.3%1st Place
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10.27Tulane University1.774.0%1st Place
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6.01Brown University2.9110.4%1st Place
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9.27Connecticut College2.295.5%1st Place
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9.3Boston College2.025.6%1st Place
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6.24Yale University2.8510.8%1st Place
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8.03U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.327.3%1st Place
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8.0Dartmouth College2.386.4%1st Place
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10.96Harvard University2.123.5%1st Place
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7.97Georgetown University2.416.8%1st Place
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7.25U. S. Naval Academy2.608.3%1st Place
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11.05University of California at Santa Barbara1.443.4%1st Place
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8.71Tufts University2.226.2%1st Place
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10.95Boston University1.653.9%1st Place
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10.5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.773.9%1st Place
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14.05St. Mary's College of Maryland0.902.0%1st Place
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15.38North Carolina State University0.771.2%1st Place
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16.53University of Wisconsin0.170.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Stokke | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Maks Groom | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
| Asher Zittrer | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 1.1% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 10.4% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Jack Redmond | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Stephan Baker | 10.8% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| William Michels | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 2.2% |
| Scott Mais | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Nathan Smith | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ted McDonough | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 2.6% |
| Ben Mueller | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Micky Munns | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 2.9% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 1.8% |
| Max Kleha | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 9.3% | 13.4% | 17.2% | 14.5% |
| Harrison Bailey | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 21.1% | 27.0% |
| Phineas Tait | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 17.9% | 43.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.