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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University3.76+3.07vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60+2.53vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University4.51-0.20vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland4.16-0.74vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy3.50-0.54vs Predicted
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6Cornell University3.35-1.20vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.79-1.11vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.23-1.24vs Predicted
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9Drexel University0.70-0.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.07Old Dominion University3.760.1%1st Place
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4.53Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.1%1st Place
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2.8Georgetown University4.510.3%1st Place
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3.26St. Mary's College of Maryland4.160.2%1st Place
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4.46U. S. Naval Academy3.500.1%1st Place
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4.8Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
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5.89University of Pennsylvania2.790.0%1st Place
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6.76George Washington University2.230.0%1st Place
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8.44Drexel University0.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephanie Roble | 14.2% | 13.7% | 13.2% | 15.7% | 16.0% | 12.4% | 10.2% | 4.4% | 0.2% |
| Caroline Patten | 8.3% | 12.7% | 12.8% | 14.8% | 15.9% | 16.2% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 1.1% |
| Sydney Bolger | 29.2% | 21.2% | 18.5% | 13.4% | 10.2% | 5.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Sara Morgan Watters | 21.1% | 19.2% | 19.7% | 15.2% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Christina Pryne | 10.3% | 13.9% | 13.5% | 11.6% | 14.7% | 14.7% | 12.5% | 7.4% | 1.4% |
| Lauren Turner | 7.9% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 14.9% | 14.2% | 16.6% | 15.9% | 8.3% | 1.3% |
| Amanda Johnson | 4.7% | 4.7% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 15.4% | 23.5% | 21.2% | 4.9% |
| Meredith Carroll | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 17.0% | 37.9% | 13.6% |
| Jennifer Mislinski | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 4.5% | 10.9% | 77.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.