Race 5A

laker-showdown

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Andrew Michels 25.6% 21.0% 17.6% 13.2% 9.8% 7.1% 3.0% 1.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.1%
Cecilia Dietsch 11.5% 13.1% 12.2% 12.4% 13.4% 11.8% 11.0% 8.5% 4.5% 1.5% 0.2%
Caroline Henry 9.6% 10.4% 11.3% 10.2% 11.6% 12.4% 11.5% 10.9% 8.6% 3.2% 0.3%
Ryan Dodge 10.8% 9.0% 10.5% 11.8% 11.8% 11.7% 12.8% 10.3% 7.8% 2.9% 0.4%
Marco Constantini 12.8% 13.6% 12.8% 13.9% 11.2% 10.1% 10.9% 8.0% 5.2% 1.4% 0.2%
Julia Janssen 7.7% 8.0% 11.0% 9.2% 9.8% 10.8% 13.7% 11.6% 11.3% 6.3% 0.5%
John McCalmont 11.2% 12.0% 10.8% 12.6% 13.1% 12.4% 10.4% 10.0% 5.8% 1.6% 0.1%
Carly Irwin 6.7% 6.4% 7.8% 8.8% 10.2% 11.3% 13.4% 15.0% 12.6% 6.6% 1.2%
Alex Schlotterer 0.9% 1.8% 1.2% 2.1% 2.3% 3.9% 3.1% 7.4% 14.2% 39.0% 24.1%
Luke Sadalla 2.8% 4.0% 3.9% 4.9% 5.4% 7.2% 8.2% 13.9% 22.7% 20.5% 6.4%
Piper Luke 0.4% 0.5% 0.9% 0.9% 1.4% 1.3% 1.9% 2.6% 6.4% 17.1% 66.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.