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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.38+7.02vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.12+8.99vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.60+4.11vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.91+1.93vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.22+3.77vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93+4.39vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.41+1.05vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.85-1.65vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College2.29+0.13vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.02-0.86vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-2.91vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77-1.22vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara1.44-1.94vs Predicted
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14Tulane University1.77-3.63vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland0.90-0.84vs Predicted
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16Boston University1.65-4.95vs Predicted
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17North Carolina State University0.77-1.65vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin0.17-1.79vs Predicted
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19Roger Williams University2.09-9.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.02Dartmouth College2.387.0%1st Place
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10.99Harvard University2.123.8%1st Place
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7.11U. S. Naval Academy2.609.0%1st Place
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5.93Brown University2.9112.2%1st Place
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8.77Tufts University2.226.1%1st Place
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10.39Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.934.2%1st Place
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8.05Georgetown University2.417.0%1st Place
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6.35Yale University2.8511.5%1st Place
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9.13Connecticut College2.295.0%1st Place
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9.14Boston College2.025.3%1st Place
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8.09U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.326.7%1st Place
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10.78Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.773.2%1st Place
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11.06University of California at Santa Barbara1.443.4%1st Place
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10.37Tulane University1.773.9%1st Place
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14.16St. Mary's College of Maryland0.901.3%1st Place
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11.05Boston University1.654.4%1st Place
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15.35North Carolina State University0.770.8%1st Place
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16.21University of Wisconsin0.170.6%1st Place
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9.03Roger Williams University2.094.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Michels | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 2.3% |
| Nathan Smith | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 12.2% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Ben Mueller | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Maks Groom | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 1.5% |
| Scott Mais | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Stephan Baker | 11.5% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Jack Redmond | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 2.1% |
| Ted McDonough | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 2.6% |
| Asher Zittrer | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 1.1% |
| Max Kleha | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 13.7% | 16.9% | 14.2% |
| Micky Munns | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 2.9% |
| Harrison Bailey | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 10.9% | 22.4% | 26.1% |
| Phineas Tait | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 8.0% | 16.4% | 43.9% |
| Oliver Stokke | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.