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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.85+5.52vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.02+7.52vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.09+6.46vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.60+3.43vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+3.49vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College2.29+3.68vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.41+1.12vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland1.62+3.33vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.91-2.96vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.38-1.85vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Barbara1.44+0.13vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.22-2.86vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77-2.24vs Predicted
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14Boston University1.65-2.70vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.12-3.77vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93-5.73vs Predicted
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17Tulane University2.09-7.49vs Predicted
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18North Carolina State University0.77-2.49vs Predicted
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19University of Wisconsin0.17-2.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.52Yale University2.8510.4%1st Place
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9.52Boston College2.025.1%1st Place
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9.46Roger Williams University2.096.0%1st Place
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7.43U. S. Naval Academy2.608.2%1st Place
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8.49U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.326.5%1st Place
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9.68Connecticut College2.294.6%1st Place
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8.12Georgetown University2.416.2%1st Place
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11.33St. Mary's College of Maryland1.622.9%1st Place
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6.04Brown University2.9111.1%1st Place
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8.15Dartmouth College2.388.1%1st Place
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11.13University of California at Santa Barbara1.443.2%1st Place
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9.14Tufts University2.225.7%1st Place
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10.76Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.774.0%1st Place
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11.3Boston University1.653.8%1st Place
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11.23Harvard University2.124.2%1st Place
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10.27Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.933.8%1st Place
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9.51Tulane University2.094.8%1st Place
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15.51North Carolina State University0.771.1%1st Place
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16.43University of Wisconsin0.170.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephan Baker | 10.4% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Jack Redmond | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Oliver Stokke | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Nathan Smith | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.0% |
| Scott Mais | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Felix Cutler | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 3.7% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 11.1% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Michels | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Ted McDonough | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 2.9% |
| Ben Mueller | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 2.9% |
| Micky Munns | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 3.6% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 2.9% |
| Maks Groom | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 2.1% |
| Peter Foley III | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Harrison Bailey | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 20.8% | 31.2% |
| Phineas Tait | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 19.1% | 44.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.