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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.02+8.51vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.12+9.04vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.60+4.15vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.91+1.88vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.85+1.44vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.38+2.20vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.67+3.49vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.39+3.76vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77+1.68vs Predicted
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10Tulane University1.77+0.21vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University2.41-3.06vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.29-2.56vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93-2.66vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland1.62-2.77vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Barbara1.44-4.06vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-7.94vs Predicted
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17North Carolina State University0.77-1.65vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin0.17-1.76vs Predicted
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19Roger Williams University2.09-9.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.51Boston College2.025.2%1st Place
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11.04Harvard University2.123.0%1st Place
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7.15U. S. Naval Academy2.607.5%1st Place
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5.88Brown University2.9112.0%1st Place
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6.44Yale University2.8511.2%1st Place
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8.2Dartmouth College2.386.5%1st Place
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10.49Tufts University1.674.3%1st Place
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11.76Boston University1.392.8%1st Place
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10.68Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.773.8%1st Place
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10.21Tulane University1.774.2%1st Place
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7.94Georgetown University2.418.0%1st Place
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9.44Connecticut College2.294.3%1st Place
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10.34Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.934.1%1st Place
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11.23St. Mary's College of Maryland1.622.9%1st Place
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10.94University of California at Santa Barbara1.444.5%1st Place
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8.06U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.328.1%1st Place
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15.35North Carolina State University0.771.1%1st Place
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16.24University of Wisconsin0.170.9%1st Place
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9.07Roger Williams University2.095.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Redmond | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 0.6% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 3.2% |
| Nathan Smith | 7.5% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 12.0% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Stephan Baker | 11.2% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| William Michels | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| John Eastman | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 2.4% |
| Noah Robitshek | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 5.1% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 2.4% |
| Asher Zittrer | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 1.5% |
| Scott Mais | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Maks Groom | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 1.8% |
| Felix Cutler | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 3.2% |
| Ted McDonough | 4.5% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 3.0% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Harrison Bailey | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 10.2% | 19.2% | 31.2% |
| Phineas Tait | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 18.0% | 43.0% |
| Oliver Stokke | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.