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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan Technological University0.96+2.11vs Predicted
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2Hope College-0.31+3.10vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan-0.17+1.73vs Predicted
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4Northern Michigan University-0.15+0.69vs Predicted
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5Michigan Technological University-0.17-0.34vs Predicted
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6Michigan State University-0.44-0.80vs Predicted
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7Northern Michigan University-0.57-1.37vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University-1.44-0.38vs Predicted
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9Grand Valley State University-0.85-3.08vs Predicted
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10Unknown School-2.34-0.91vs Predicted
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11Saginaw Valley State University-3.37-0.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.11Michigan Technological University0.9626.5%1st Place
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5.1Hope College-0.3110.1%1st Place
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4.73University of Michigan-0.1711.5%1st Place
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4.69Northern Michigan University-0.1511.4%1st Place
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4.66Michigan Technological University-0.1712.3%1st Place
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5.2Michigan State University-0.449.6%1st Place
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5.63Northern Michigan University-0.577.5%1st Place
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7.62Northwestern University-1.442.6%1st Place
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5.92Grand Valley State University-0.856.8%1st Place
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9.09Unknown School-2.341.4%1st Place
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10.26Saginaw Valley State University-3.370.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Michels | 26.5% | 20.3% | 16.1% | 13.9% | 9.8% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Henry | 10.1% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| John McCalmont | 11.5% | 11.5% | 14.0% | 12.0% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 5.8% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Marco Constantini | 11.4% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Cecilia Dietsch | 12.3% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Dodge | 9.6% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 12.7% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 3.5% | 0.2% |
| Julia Janssen | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 10.8% | 5.0% | 1.1% |
| Luke Sadalla | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 12.8% | 24.4% | 21.0% | 5.7% |
| Carly Irwin | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 12.8% | 16.6% | 11.8% | 5.6% | 0.7% |
| Alex Schlotterer | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 13.1% | 39.1% | 23.8% |
| Piper Luke | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 6.5% | 17.2% | 67.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.