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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.21+7.36vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.71+2.87vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.92+3.65vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.75+0.44vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania1.77+2.58vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.44+4.16vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.20-1.07vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.18+2.11vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College1.48+1.12vs Predicted
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10Boston University0.37+2.42vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston1.45-2.87vs Predicted
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12George Washington University1.32-2.19vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University0.95-2.54vs Predicted
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14University of Hawaii0.99-3.64vs Predicted
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15University of Miami-0.46+0.36vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College0.65-4.45vs Predicted
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17Christopher Newport University0.65-5.08vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan0.39-5.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.36Tulane University2.215.3%1st Place
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4.87Yale University2.7114.2%1st Place
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6.65Brown University1.927.9%1st Place
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4.44Dartmouth College2.7518.3%1st Place
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7.58University of Pennsylvania1.777.3%1st Place
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10.16Tufts University1.443.5%1st Place
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5.93Georgetown University2.2010.7%1st Place
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10.11Northeastern University1.183.8%1st Place
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10.12Bowdoin College1.483.4%1st Place
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12.42Boston University0.372.2%1st Place
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8.13College of Charleston1.456.3%1st Place
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9.81George Washington University1.323.4%1st Place
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10.46Old Dominion University0.953.5%1st Place
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10.36University of Hawaii0.993.0%1st Place
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15.36University of Miami-0.460.6%1st Place
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11.55Connecticut College0.652.3%1st Place
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11.92Christopher Newport University0.652.5%1st Place
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12.77University of Michigan0.391.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 14.2% | 13.8% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Bayless | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 18.3% | 14.9% | 13.6% | 12.2% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sofia Segalla | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Chloe Holder | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 2.5% |
| Piper Holthus | 10.7% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 2.5% |
| Ellie Maus | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 2.8% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 12.8% | 11.1% |
| Grace Squires | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 1.7% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 3.0% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 2.4% |
| Sarah Schuringa | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 14.8% | 45.5% |
| Aili Moffet | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 5.3% |
| Grace Watlington | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 8.5% |
| Christiana Scheibner | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 14.3% | 13.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.