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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania1.77+6.54vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.71+2.59vs Predicted
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3Boston University0.37+9.68vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.44+6.27vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University0.95+5.53vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.75-1.35vs Predicted
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7Tulane University2.21+1.22vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.92-1.32vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.18+0.94vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College0.65+1.55vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston1.45-2.82vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University2.20-6.02vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College1.48-2.98vs Predicted
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14University of Michigan0.39-1.17vs Predicted
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15George Washington University1.32-5.23vs Predicted
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16Christopher Newport University0.65-4.08vs Predicted
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17University of Hawaii0.99-6.72vs Predicted
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18University of Miami-0.46-2.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.54University of Pennsylvania1.777.4%1st Place
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4.59Yale University2.7117.2%1st Place
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12.68Boston University0.371.6%1st Place
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10.27Tufts University1.443.2%1st Place
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10.53Old Dominion University0.953.2%1st Place
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4.65Dartmouth College2.7515.6%1st Place
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8.22Tulane University2.215.7%1st Place
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6.68Brown University1.928.5%1st Place
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9.94Northeastern University1.184.0%1st Place
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11.55Connecticut College0.652.4%1st Place
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8.18College of Charleston1.455.1%1st Place
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5.98Georgetown University2.209.5%1st Place
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10.02Bowdoin College1.484.0%1st Place
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12.83University of Michigan0.391.6%1st Place
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9.77George Washington University1.324.2%1st Place
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11.92Christopher Newport University0.652.4%1st Place
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10.28University of Hawaii0.994.2%1st Place
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15.37University of Miami-0.460.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sofia Segalla | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 17.2% | 13.6% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 12.4% | 15.3% | 10.7% |
| Chloe Holder | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 2.2% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 3.2% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 15.6% | 16.1% | 13.9% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Caroline Bayless | 8.5% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.3% |
| Aili Moffet | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 7.0% |
| Grace Squires | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Piper Holthus | 9.5% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ellie Maus | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 2.3% |
| Christiana Scheibner | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 15.7% | 11.9% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.0% |
| Grace Watlington | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 7.8% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 2.5% |
| Sarah Schuringa | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 12.2% | 46.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.