← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Dartmouth College2.75+3.47vs Predicted
-
2Yale University2.71+2.83vs Predicted
-
3Georgetown University2.20+2.85vs Predicted
-
4Brown University1.92+2.78vs Predicted
-
5Tufts University1.44+5.26vs Predicted
-
6College of Charleston1.45+2.17vs Predicted
-
7Old Dominion University0.95+3.55vs Predicted
-
8University of Pennsylvania1.77-0.53vs Predicted
-
9University of Michigan0.39+3.64vs Predicted
-
10Bowdoin College1.48+0.17vs Predicted
-
11Tulane University2.21-2.69vs Predicted
-
12Northeastern University1.18-1.98vs Predicted
-
13University of Hawaii0.99-2.65vs Predicted
-
14George Washington University1.32-4.31vs Predicted
-
15Boston University0.37-2.35vs Predicted
-
16Connecticut College0.65-4.57vs Predicted
-
17Christopher Newport University0.65-4.99vs Predicted
-
18University of Miami-0.46-2.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.47Dartmouth College2.7517.5%1st Place
-
4.83Yale University2.7114.8%1st Place
-
5.85Georgetown University2.2010.8%1st Place
-
6.78Brown University1.927.7%1st Place
-
10.26Tufts University1.443.2%1st Place
-
8.17College of Charleston1.456.6%1st Place
-
10.55Old Dominion University0.953.0%1st Place
-
7.47University of Pennsylvania1.777.5%1st Place
-
12.64University of Michigan0.392.2%1st Place
-
10.17Bowdoin College1.483.0%1st Place
-
8.31Tulane University2.215.9%1st Place
-
10.02Northeastern University1.183.1%1st Place
-
10.35University of Hawaii0.993.5%1st Place
-
9.69George Washington University1.324.0%1st Place
-
12.65Boston University0.371.9%1st Place
-
11.43Connecticut College0.652.5%1st Place
-
12.01Christopher Newport University0.651.8%1st Place
-
15.37University of Miami-0.460.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maddie Hawkins | 17.5% | 16.0% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 14.8% | 13.7% | 13.0% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Piper Holthus | 10.8% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Bayless | 7.7% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Chloe Holder | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 2.5% |
| Grace Squires | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 2.4% |
| Sofia Segalla | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Christiana Scheibner | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 15.7% | 12.2% |
| Ellie Maus | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 2.5% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 2.4% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 1.7% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 14.4% | 11.5% |
| Aili Moffet | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 6.0% |
| Grace Watlington | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 7.8% |
| Sarah Schuringa | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 14.1% | 45.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.