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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.21+7.39vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.20+3.97vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania1.77+4.54vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.75+0.53vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.71-0.12vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.44+4.37vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University0.95+3.52vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.92-1.26vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College1.48+1.04vs Predicted
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10George Washington University1.32-0.50vs Predicted
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11Boston University0.37+1.65vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.18-2.06vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College0.65-1.36vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston1.45-6.01vs Predicted
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15Christopher Newport University0.65-3.18vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan0.39-3.34vs Predicted
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17University of Miami-0.46-1.53vs Predicted
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18University of Hawaii0.99-7.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.39Tulane University2.215.5%1st Place
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5.97Georgetown University2.209.2%1st Place
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7.54University of Pennsylvania1.778.5%1st Place
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4.53Dartmouth College2.7516.4%1st Place
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4.88Yale University2.7115.5%1st Place
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10.37Tufts University1.443.0%1st Place
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10.52Old Dominion University0.953.4%1st Place
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6.74Brown University1.927.7%1st Place
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10.04Bowdoin College1.484.2%1st Place
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9.5George Washington University1.323.6%1st Place
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12.65Boston University0.372.1%1st Place
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9.94Northeastern University1.183.6%1st Place
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11.64Connecticut College0.652.9%1st Place
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7.99College of Charleston1.456.2%1st Place
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11.82Christopher Newport University0.652.1%1st Place
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12.66University of Michigan0.392.1%1st Place
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15.47University of Miami-0.460.7%1st Place
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10.34University of Hawaii0.993.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Piper Holthus | 9.2% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sofia Segalla | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 16.4% | 14.3% | 13.4% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 15.5% | 13.4% | 12.8% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chloe Holder | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 2.9% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 3.2% |
| Caroline Bayless | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ellie Maus | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 2.5% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.0% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 11.8% | 13.3% | 11.8% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 1.9% |
| Aili Moffet | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 6.3% |
| Grace Squires | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Grace Watlington | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 7.8% |
| Christiana Scheibner | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 14.4% | 11.4% |
| Sarah Schuringa | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 9.7% | 13.4% | 46.5% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 2.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.