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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.49+6.45vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin3.36+5.99vs Predicted
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3Boston College4.12+2.52vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.21+4.65vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.69+1.83vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College3.44+1.88vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University4.71-3.10vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont3.63-1.00vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.49+2.20vs Predicted
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10Stanford University4.05-4.30vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.36+0.53vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy3.67-4.97vs Predicted
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13Cornell University2.48-1.82vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College3.06-4.78vs Predicted
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15Columbia University2.55-4.18vs Predicted
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16University of Connecticut0.51-0.36vs Predicted
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17Stevens Institute of Technology0.65-1.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.45Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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7.99University of Wisconsin3.360.1%1st Place
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5.52Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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8.65Tufts University3.210.0%1st Place
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6.83Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
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7.88Connecticut College3.440.1%1st Place
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3.9Roger Williams University4.710.2%1st Place
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7.0University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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11.2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.490.0%1st Place
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5.7Stanford University4.050.1%1st Place
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11.53Northeastern University2.360.0%1st Place
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7.03U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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11.18Cornell University2.480.0%1st Place
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9.22SUNY Maritime College3.060.0%1st Place
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10.82Columbia University2.550.0%1st Place
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15.64University of Connecticut0.510.0%1st Place
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15.46Stevens Institute of Technology0.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Houck | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Raul Rios | 11.8% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| David Liebenberg | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Judge Ryan | 7.3% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Miller | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Alec Anderson | 19.6% | 17.6% | 13.8% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Godfrey | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 13.4% | 13.8% | 8.0% | 2.1% |
| Kevin Laube | 10.8% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Jesse Thomas | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 13.7% | 17.8% | 10.3% | 2.2% |
| Michael Grove | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alden Sonnenfeldt | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 13.0% | 14.8% | 7.8% | 1.9% |
| Tyler Steel | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Conor Cashel | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 13.1% | 7.2% | 1.9% |
| Austin Smyth | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 7.6% | 27.8% | 49.7% |
| MacKenzie McGuckin | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 8.8% | 31.8% | 42.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.