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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.75+3.55vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.71+2.77vs Predicted
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3Tulane University2.21+5.28vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania1.77+3.61vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.92+1.61vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.20-0.06vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii0.99+3.45vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College1.48+2.18vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston1.45-0.81vs Predicted
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10Boston University0.37+2.57vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University0.95-0.52vs Predicted
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12George Washington University1.32-2.37vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.18-2.85vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.44-3.80vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan0.39-2.28vs Predicted
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16Christopher Newport University0.65-4.06vs Predicted
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17University of Miami-0.46-1.62vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College0.65-6.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.55Dartmouth College2.7517.8%1st Place
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4.77Yale University2.7115.0%1st Place
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8.28Tulane University2.215.9%1st Place
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7.61University of Pennsylvania1.776.7%1st Place
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6.61Brown University1.928.8%1st Place
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5.94Georgetown University2.2010.2%1st Place
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10.45University of Hawaii0.993.1%1st Place
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10.18Bowdoin College1.483.5%1st Place
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8.19College of Charleston1.455.7%1st Place
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12.57Boston University0.372.1%1st Place
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10.48Old Dominion University0.953.8%1st Place
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9.63George Washington University1.323.7%1st Place
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10.15Northeastern University1.183.0%1st Place
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10.2Tufts University1.442.8%1st Place
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12.72University of Michigan0.391.8%1st Place
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11.94Christopher Newport University0.652.5%1st Place
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15.38University of Miami-0.460.8%1st Place
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11.37Connecticut College0.652.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maddie Hawkins | 17.8% | 13.6% | 13.1% | 12.2% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 15.0% | 14.9% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Sofia Segalla | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Caroline Bayless | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Piper Holthus | 10.2% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 2.9% |
| Ellie Maus | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 2.4% |
| Grace Squires | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 14.0% | 10.5% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 2.9% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 2.6% |
| Chloe Holder | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 2.3% |
| Christiana Scheibner | 1.8% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 11.9% | 15.2% | 11.7% |
| Grace Watlington | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 7.4% |
| Sarah Schuringa | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 13.0% | 47.8% |
| Aili Moffet | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 6.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.