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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.75+3.55vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.71+2.84vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University0.95+7.49vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.92+2.54vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College1.48+5.07vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.20-0.15vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.18+2.91vs Predicted
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8George Washington University1.32+1.70vs Predicted
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9Boston University0.37+3.79vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston1.45-1.76vs Predicted
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11Tulane University2.21-2.69vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan0.39+0.84vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.44-2.71vs Predicted
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14University of Hawaii0.99-3.57vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania1.77-7.58vs Predicted
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16University of Miami-0.46-0.71vs Predicted
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17Christopher Newport University0.65-4.92vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College0.65-6.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.55Dartmouth College2.7517.0%1st Place
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4.84Yale University2.7114.7%1st Place
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10.49Old Dominion University0.952.9%1st Place
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6.54Brown University1.929.7%1st Place
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10.07Bowdoin College1.483.7%1st Place
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5.85Georgetown University2.2011.5%1st Place
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9.91Northeastern University1.183.3%1st Place
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9.7George Washington University1.324.5%1st Place
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12.79Boston University0.371.6%1st Place
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8.24College of Charleston1.455.7%1st Place
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8.31Tulane University2.215.3%1st Place
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12.84University of Michigan0.392.2%1st Place
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10.29Tufts University1.443.2%1st Place
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10.43University of Hawaii0.992.9%1st Place
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7.42University of Pennsylvania1.776.5%1st Place
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15.29University of Miami-0.460.8%1st Place
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12.08Christopher Newport University0.652.6%1st Place
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11.39Connecticut College0.652.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maddie Hawkins | 17.0% | 15.7% | 12.5% | 12.1% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 14.7% | 14.2% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 2.6% |
| Caroline Bayless | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Ellie Maus | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 2.6% |
| Piper Holthus | 11.5% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.2% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 1.5% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 12.2% | 13.8% | 12.0% |
| Grace Squires | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Christiana Scheibner | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 11.3% | 15.9% | 13.4% |
| Chloe Holder | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 2.7% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 2.6% |
| Sofia Segalla | 6.5% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Sarah Schuringa | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 13.2% | 45.0% |
| Grace Watlington | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 8.6% |
| Aili Moffet | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 5.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.