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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.49+6.46vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.67+4.86vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.48+8.01vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University4.71-0.09vs Predicted
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5Boston College4.12+0.40vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College3.06+3.25vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.36+4.46vs Predicted
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8Stanford University4.05-2.35vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.49+2.25vs Predicted
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10Stevens Institute of Technology0.65+5.40vs Predicted
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11Tufts University3.21-2.30vs Predicted
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12Columbia University2.55-1.15vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin3.36-4.87vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont3.63-6.77vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College3.44-7.20vs Predicted
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16University of Connecticut0.51-0.34vs Predicted
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17Brown University3.69-10.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.46Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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6.86U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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11.01Cornell University2.480.0%1st Place
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3.91Roger Williams University4.710.2%1st Place
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5.4Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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9.25SUNY Maritime College3.060.0%1st Place
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11.46Northeastern University2.360.0%1st Place
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5.65Stanford University4.050.1%1st Place
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11.25Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.490.0%1st Place
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15.4Stevens Institute of Technology0.650.0%1st Place
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8.7Tufts University3.210.1%1st Place
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10.85Columbia University2.550.0%1st Place
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8.13University of Wisconsin3.360.1%1st Place
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7.23University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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7.8Connecticut College3.440.1%1st Place
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15.66University of Connecticut0.510.0%1st Place
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6.97Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Houck | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Michael Grove | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Alden Sonnenfeldt | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 12.3% | 13.5% | 9.6% | 1.5% |
| Alec Anderson | 20.8% | 16.0% | 14.9% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Raul Rios | 12.2% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Steel | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Jesse Thomas | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 13.3% | 16.1% | 9.7% | 1.9% |
| Kevin Laube | 11.8% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Godfrey | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 10.8% | 13.0% | 14.7% | 8.7% | 2.0% |
| MacKenzie McGuckin | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 5.7% | 10.5% | 32.0% | 40.3% |
| David Liebenberg | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Conor Cashel | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 7.6% | 1.6% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Peter Miller | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% |
| Austin Smyth | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 8.4% | 25.7% | 51.1% |
| Judge Ryan | 5.9% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.