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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania1.77+6.43vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.75+2.49vs Predicted
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3Tulane University2.21+5.21vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.71+0.85vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College1.48+5.24vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University0.95+4.42vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.20-0.93vs Predicted
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8Boston University0.37+4.57vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.18+0.99vs Predicted
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10George Washington University1.32-0.49vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.44-0.58vs Predicted
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12Brown University1.92-5.53vs Predicted
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13University of Hawaii0.99-2.63vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College0.65-2.46vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan0.39-2.15vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston1.45-7.81vs Predicted
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17Christopher Newport University0.65-4.97vs Predicted
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18University of Miami-0.46-2.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.43University of Pennsylvania1.777.8%1st Place
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4.49Dartmouth College2.7516.9%1st Place
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8.21Tulane University2.215.8%1st Place
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4.85Yale University2.7115.2%1st Place
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10.24Bowdoin College1.483.1%1st Place
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10.42Old Dominion University0.953.4%1st Place
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6.07Georgetown University2.2010.7%1st Place
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12.57Boston University0.371.8%1st Place
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9.99Northeastern University1.183.1%1st Place
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9.51George Washington University1.324.3%1st Place
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10.42Tufts University1.442.8%1st Place
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6.47Brown University1.928.3%1st Place
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10.37University of Hawaii0.993.4%1st Place
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11.54Connecticut College0.652.3%1st Place
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12.85University of Michigan0.392.1%1st Place
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8.19College of Charleston1.455.6%1st Place
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12.03Christopher Newport University0.652.5%1st Place
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15.34University of Miami-0.460.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sofia Segalla | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 16.9% | 16.1% | 13.4% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 15.2% | 13.1% | 13.0% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ellie Maus | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 2.8% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 3.8% |
| Piper Holthus | 10.7% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 14.0% | 11.2% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 1.7% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.5% |
| Chloe Holder | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 2.1% |
| Caroline Bayless | 8.3% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 1.9% |
| Aili Moffet | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 5.9% |
| Christiana Scheibner | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 15.6% | 13.7% |
| Grace Squires | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Grace Watlington | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 8.1% |
| Sarah Schuringa | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 8.5% | 14.6% | 46.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.